WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	79		Excitement	8.5 [17]		MVP	Kayla McBride (MIN): +42.2%
Minnesota Lynx	86		Comeback	4.2 [57]		LVP	Maya Caldwell (ATL): -11.8%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.01	5	100%	0.40	6	-0.21	6	100%	0.06
Aerial Powers	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.00	6	85%	0.21	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Tina Charles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Rhyne Howard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	47%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Naz Hillmon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Destanni Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	38%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Allisha Gray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Haley Jones	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Maya Caldwell	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42	0.42	0.34	0.10	0.02	17	70%	0.42	0	0.00	9	89%	-0.01
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.19	-0.00	12	64%	0.36	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Alanna Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	65%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Bridget Carleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	37%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorka Juhász	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	37%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Sika Koné	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Courtney Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	15	27%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	WNBA	ATL	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.8	15.6	14.8	103.9	106.2	100.2
season	14.7	14.7		93.1	100.3
opponent	15.2	14.9		93.5	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	17.0	13.5	14.9	14.8
MIN	15.6	14.7	17.2	15.1	15.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	3%	66%	31%	0.0%	50.0%	59.0%	41.7%	0.0%
MIN	0%	69%	31%	0.0%	0.0%	48.1%	41.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	1	100%	2	100%	2	100%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	2	125%	4	62%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	6	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	1	0%	9	61%	4	25%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	3	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Destanni Henderson	0	0%	3	33%	3	33%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	5	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	2	50%	39	59%	18	42%	0	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	10	90%	7	29%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	5	50%	7	71%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	8	69%	1	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	9	33%	3	50%	0	0%
Dorka Juhász	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Sika Koné	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	14	29%	1	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	52	48%	23	41%	0	0%