WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	83		Excitement	7.3 [68]		MVP	Jackie Young (LVA): +22.7%
Indiana Fever	90		Comeback	1.4 [122]		LVP	Lexie Hull (IND): -21.4%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Young	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.03	-0.02	10	75%	0.30	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
A'ja Wilson	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.02	24	57%	0.25	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.07
Kierstan Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.08	0.06	13	44%	-0.05	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	15	56%	0.28	2	-0.06	13	77%	-0.01
Odyssey Sims	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	9	75%	0.23	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	20	54%	0.25	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Shey Peddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	4	78%	0.11	1	0.01	1	100%	0.01
Brianna Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Makayla Timpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	44%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.07	0.02	12	25%	-0.16	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	IND	WNBA	LVA	IND	WNBA
this game	15.4	13.1	15.0	97.6	108.4	101.7
season	15.2	14.8		105.0	103.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		99.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	15.1	16.3	13.7	16.9	15.4
IND	14.1	12.3	14.3	11.7	13.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	6%	67%	27%	0.0%	100.0%	62.2%	30.6%	0.0%
IND	0%	76%	24%	0.0%	0.0%	51.0%	37.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jackie Young	0	0%	5	110%	5	30%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	1	100%	14	64%	9	44%	0	0%
Kierstan Bell	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	3	100%	8	31%	2	0%	0	0%
Aces	4	100%	45	62%	18	31%	0	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	12	42%	3	67%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	6	75%	3	67%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	17	47%	3	67%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Makayla Timpson	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	4	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	7	36%	5	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	51	51%	16	37%	0	0%