WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	98		Excitement	3.8 [165]		MVP	Natasha Howard (SEA): +28.5%
Washington Mystics	82		Comeback	1.5 [103]		LVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): -9.0%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.32	0.01	0.05	14	85%	0.29	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.25	0.02	0.05	22	61%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Alysha Clark	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	9	83%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.09	4	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.08	7	62%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jewell Loyd	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	11	24%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	60%	0.10	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.00	0.09	18	57%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaToya Sanders	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	0.10	15	65%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	WAS	WNBA	SEA	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.7	16.5	14.9	130.7	110.8	102.8
season	14.5	15.4		108.2	106.8
opponent	14.9	15.5		102.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.3	13.9	15.1	17.7	15.7
WAS	16.8	18.6	14.9	15.7	16.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	26%	72%	1%	0.0%	60.5%	57.7%	100.0%	0.0%
WAS	20%	80%	0%	0.0%	67.9%	44.5%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	3	33%	11	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	3	67%	18	56%	1	100%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	3	50%	6	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	2	150%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	4	100%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	4	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	19	61%	52	58%	1	100%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	1	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	1	100%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	5	80%	13	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	2	75%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	1	100%	14	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Currie	1	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	14	68%	55	45%	0	0%	0	0%