WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	78		Excitement	6.8 [71]		MVP	Emma Meesseman (WAS): +31.6%
Washington Mystics	89		Comeback	3.9 [109]		LVP	Jasmine Thomas (CON): -13.5%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.02	16	66%	0.27	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Alyssa Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	14	68%	0.29	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Bria Holmes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brionna Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shekinna Stricklen	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	39%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	20	38%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Morgan Tuck	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.20	0.11	0.00	13	71%	0.33	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.01	11	64%	0.35	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.11	-0.00	16	55%	0.26	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	11	62%	0.16	5	-0.16	7	100%	0.01
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaToya Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	WAS	WNBA	CON	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.3	16.2	14.9	100.0	112.7	98.5
season	14.3	15.5		100.8	112.2
opponent	14.6	15.3		100.0	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	17.1	11.9	13.8	14.6	14.3
WAS	16.0	16.6	15.4	17.0	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	4%	69%	27%	0.0%	33.3%	51.0%	36.8%	0.0%
WAS	0%	73%	27%	0.0%	0.0%	47.9%	66.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	14	61%	2	100%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	1	100%	9	78%	4	25%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	1	0%	7	36%	1	100%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	1	0%	12	42%	7	29%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	2	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Sun	3	33%	49	51%	19	37%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	8	81%	5	60%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	6	33%	5	100%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	12	42%	4	75%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	8	56%	3	33%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	48	48%	18	67%	0	0%