WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	77		Excitement	8.8 [17]		MVP	Isabelle Harrison (DAL): +55.9%
Dallas Wings	83		Comeback	3.5 [41]		LVP	Imani McGee-Stafford (DAL): -9.0%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	3	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tanisha Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06	-0.06	0.11	-0.02	5	50%	0.17	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.07
Bria Hartley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	8	55%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Reshanda Gray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marine Johannes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	9	59%	0.09	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.03
Tina Charles	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.02	25	45%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Brittany Boyd	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.33,0.56	0.56	0.12	0.46	0.02	14	52%	0.56	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Allisha Gray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.20	0.09	0.02	8	85%	0.38	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.03
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	18	48%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.07
Brooke McCarty-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	83%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kaela Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Glory Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	46%	0.06	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Megan Gustafson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Imani McGee-Stafford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	5	42%	0.04	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	DAL	WNBA	NYL	DAL	WNBA
this game	13.9	17.4	15.0	100.0	109.2	97.0
season	14.5	16.6		93.8	92.3
opponent	14.6	14.7		97.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	14.0	13.9	12.7	15.2	13.9
DAL	17.4	17.7	16.7	18.1	17.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	2%	76%	18%	4.8%	0.0%	43.6%	59.1%	33.3%
DAL	0%	79%	16%	4.8%	0.0%	43.9%	45.0%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	1	100%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	4	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	1	0%	6	33%	1	150%	0	0%
Reshanda Gray	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Marine Johannes	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	7	57%	2	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	17	35%	6	83%	2	0%
Brittany Boyd	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	1	0%	47	44%	11	59%	3	33%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	9	33%	3	67%	2	100%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	7	93%	1	0%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	13	42%	4	25%	1	0%
Brooke McCarty-Williams	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	9	39%	1	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Imani McGee-Stafford	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	49	44%	10	45%	3	67%