WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	91		Excitement	5.0 [118]		MVP	Emma Meesseman (WAS): +42.1%
Washington Mystics	103		Comeback	1.5 [178]		LVP	Sugar Rodgers (LVA): -7.6%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Liz Cambage	0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.27	0.04	0.07	11	74%	0.25	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Jackie Young	0.14	0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	-0.00	0.03	5	108%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tamera Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	15	61%	0.13	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Sydney Colson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dearica Hamby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
A'ja Wilson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	12	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Sugar Rodgers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.34	0.10	0.02	19	73%	0.42	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
LaToya Sanders	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.04	0.03	10	74%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.02	13	60%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	5	77%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Ariel Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.01	0.05	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	15	40%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	WAS	WNBA	LVA	WAS	WNBA
this game	13.3	16.0	14.9	109.6	127.2	98.2
season	13.3	15.4		99.3	112.6
opponent	14.7	15.5		98.1	96.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	14.1	13.6	13.1	12.2	13.3
WAS	10.8	18.0	16.2	20.5	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	24%	72%	4%	0.0%	52.9%	54.9%	0.0%	0.0%
WAS	16%	79%	4%	0.0%	50.0%	59.5%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Liz Cambage	3	67%	7	71%	1	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	5	110%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	7	57%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	3	33%	12	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	1	0%	8	37%	1	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	2	50%	10	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	17	53%	51	55%	3	0%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Emma Meesseman	2	75%	15	70%	2	75%	0	0%
LaToya Sanders	0	0%	9	78%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	13	54%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	5	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	6	58%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	4	25%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	12	50%	58	59%	3	50%	0	0%