WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	85		Excitement	7.5 [40]		MVP	Kahleah Copper (PHX): +42.0%
Seattle Storm	82		Comeback	2.2 [87]		LVP	Skylar Diggins (SEA): -10.5%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kahleah Copper	0.42	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.01	14	57%	0.48	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kathryn Westbeld	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	4	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.09	-0.02	-0.01	12	63%	0.23	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.19	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.06
Lexi Held	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kitija Laksa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Mack	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Satou Sabally	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	12	42%	0.09	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.07	0.01	17	65%	0.29	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.07	-0.02	8	50%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Malonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	46%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	9	55%	0.11	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Diggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	10	54%	-0.01	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	WNBA	PHX	SEA	WNBA
this game	13.6	13.8	14.9	97.7	93.2	101.7
season	14.4	15.1		102.2	101.1
opponent	14.8	14.9		98.8	97.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	11.5	14.1	14.5	13.6
SEA	13.7	14.6	12.6	14.1	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHX	0%	75%	22%	3.1%	0.0%	55.2%	46.4%	100.0%
SEA	1%	67%	26%	5.6%	100.0%	53.1%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	9	39%	3	67%	2	100%
Kathryn Westbeld	0	0%	2	75%	2	125%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	10	70%	2	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	6	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Lexi Held	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kitija Laksa	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	7	57%	3	33%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	0	0%	9	39%	3	33%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	48	55%	14	46%	2	100%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	1	100%	13	65%	2	50%	1	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	1	150%	5	50%	2	0%
Dominique Malonga	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	9	50%	5	40%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	5	40%	4	75%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins	0	0%	8	62%	1	0%	1	0%
Storm	1	100%	48	53%	19	50%	4	0%