WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	87		Excitement	10.9 [4]		MVP	Jackie Young (LVA): +50.8%
Las Vegas Aces	86		Comeback	2.2 [16]		LVP	Chelsea Gray (LVA): -57.8%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.33	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.19	-0.02	17	51%	0.33	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Alysha Clark	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.19	0.08	-0.01	11	91%	0.40	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25	0.06	0.20	0.01	10	62%	0.35	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.08
Elizabeth Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ariel Atkins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	16	44%	0.17	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.04
Rui Machida	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shakira Austin	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	4	55%	0.01	3	-0.15	3	0%	-0.06

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.14	0.37	-0.00	15	57%	0.53	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	4	62%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.12	-0.01	-0.03	18	53%	0.25	2	-0.11	2	50%	0.00
Iliana Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	7	28%	-0.01	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.11	0.04	16	49%	-0.01	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.03
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.58	-0.58	-0.15	-0.41	0.01	17	33%	-0.21	5	-0.37	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LVA	WNBA	WAS	LVA	WNBA
this game	14.9	13.3	14.7	90.6	90.5	99.7
season	15.4	13.7		98.9	107.0
opponent	14.7	14.9		98.0	95.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	13.0	15.6	17.3	14.9
LVA	12.6	15.5	14.4	10.9	13.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	1%	65%	31%	2.9%	0.0%	59.1%	54.8%	0.0%
LVA	1%	59%	33%	6.2%	150.0%	46.9%	38.9%	30.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	1	0%	8	37%	8	62%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	10	90%	1	100%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	6	58%	4	50%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	9	61%	6	17%	1	0%
Rui Machida	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	2	0%	2	125%	1	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	1	0%	44	59%	21	55%	2	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jackie Young	0	0%	10	40%	4	50%	1	150%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	3	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	9	72%	7	43%	2	0%
Iliana Rupert	0	0%	2	125%	1	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	6	0%	1	100%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	1	150%	9	44%	6	25%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	37%	7	29%	2	0%
Aces	1	150%	48	47%	27	39%	5	30%