WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	86		Excitement	10.7 [8]		MVP	Brittney Griner (PHO): +54.7%
Phoenix Mercury	91		Comeback	4.8 [36]		LVP	Skylar Diggins-Smith (PHO): -29.3%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Vandersloot	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.06,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26	0.05	0.19	-0.02	15	67%	0.54	6	-0.28	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.1,0.06,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	20	45%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	42%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	14	52%	0.11	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.02
Azur� Stevens	-0.01	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	47%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.07
Candace Parker	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.23	0.31	-0.00	19	67%	0.60	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.08,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.35,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.22	-0.00	16	59%	0.52	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Shey Peddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.07
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	0.04	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.29	-0.29	-0.07	-0.23	-0.01	18	34%	-0.18	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHO	WNBA	CHI	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.8	15.7	14.9	96.6	103.4	99.7
season	14.5	15.1		100.3	104.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	14.3	15.1	15.2	14.8
PHO	14.4	14.3	17.4	16.6	15.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	1%	66%	27%	5.0%	0.0%	51.9%	59.1%	25.0%
PHO	0%	70%	26%	3.7%	0.0%	46.5%	61.9%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	0%	7	86%	6	50%	1	100%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	13	31%	6	75%	1	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	4	25%	2	75%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	9	56%	3	67%	2	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	6	58%	3	33%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	12	54%	1	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	0%	53	52%	22	59%	4	25%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	13	62%	5	60%	1	100%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	9	33%	7	86%	0	0%
Shey Peddy	0	0%	5	70%	2	50%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	6	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	4	50%	3	67%	1	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	14	32%	3	33%	1	0%
Mercury	0	0%	57	46%	21	62%	3	33%