NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	99		Excitement	5.8 [671]		MVP	Royce O'Neale (UTA): +17.8%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	1.1 [1217]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (UTA): -13.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	17	55%	0.12	4	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Gary Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ignas Brazdeikis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	12	67%	0.07	7	-0.17	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	0.00	6	117%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	13	58%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Udoka Azubuike	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	6	100%	0.15	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.05	0.03	9	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	19	50%	0.11	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	0.03	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	12	26%	-0.05	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	24.2	15.4	28.2	1.8	31.2	126.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.8%

UTA +13.1%

UTA +11.5%

UTA +12.7%

ORL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.4	15.1	14.5	98.0	112.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.8		103.4	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.0	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	12.1	14.0	14.0	13.4
UTA	13.1	15.6	16.0	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ignas Brazdeikis	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	12.1	13.5	-1.33	16.3	15.1	1.27
Admiral Schofield	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-15	15	12.1	13.5	-1.33	16.3	15.1	1.27
Jalen Suggs	53	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-14	13	13.4	13.4	-0.04	15.7	14.5	1.26
Franz Wagner	70	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-11	7	13.8	12.4	1.47	15.3	14.7	0.58
Mo Bamba	65	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-9	3	14.2	11.9	2.27	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Wendell Carter Jr.	71	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-4	-7	13.4	13.3	0.06	15.3	14.6	0.73
Terrence Ross	52	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-12	9	12.8	14.0	-1.25	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Cole Anthony	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	3	-21	13.6	12.7	0.82	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Chuma Okeke	42	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.03	-16	1	-17	13.0	13.7	-0.68	14.1	15.8	-1.67
Gary Harris	61	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	1	-17	12.8	14.2	-1.41	15.1	15.1	0.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	51	51	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	4	7	14.9	15.4	-0.52	12.9	13.8	-0.92
Jordan Clarkson	50	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	5	5	16.1	14.2	1.82	12.8	14.0	-1.22
Donovan Mitchell	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.21	21	-6	27	14.8	16.0	-1.13	13.8	12.3	1.52
Hassan Whiteside	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	-2	19	14.6	15.9	-1.38	13.8	12.8	1.03
Royce O'Neale	72	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	-3	21	14.8	15.9	-1.01	14.0	12.0	1.96
Bojan Bogdanovic	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.26	19	-4	23	14.7	16.1	-1.43	13.9	12.4	1.54
Eric Paschall	26	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	15	-15	15.7	14.9	0.75	12.4	13.7	-1.32
Udoka Azubuike	43	44	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	17	-19	15.9	14.6	1.38	12.8	13.8	-1.03
Juancho Hernangomez	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	17.3	15.1	2.26	8.3	13.5	-5.20
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	17.3	15.1	2.26	8.3	13.5	-5.20
Mike Conley	51	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	20	-25	15.5	14.7	0.79	13.8	12.9	0.94
Jared Butler	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.17	-8	23	-31	14.4	15.2	-0.76	10.6	13.6	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAC 89, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.95,0.93,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 109, CHA 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%