NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	88		Excitement	4.6 [882]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +9.8%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.0 [928]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -14.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.03	0.05	7	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	19	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	16	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	18	47%	-0.08	3	-0.07	9	56%	-0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.01	-0.04	7	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.10	10	92%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	73%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	20	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	19	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	31.5	19.8	24.0	2.8	30.3	134.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.2%

NYK -7.9%

IND +5.9%

IND +4.9%

IND +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	16.7	15.2	101.1	117.2	101.7
season	16.1	15.4		100.0	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	14.4	18.8	16.2	16.4
IND	17.9	15.6	14.6	18.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	3	4	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.17	-3	-11	8	9.0	16.7	-7.68	17.2	16.7	0.59
Patrick Ewing	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-14	14	16.6	15.9	0.75	16.3	17.5	-1.21
Charlie Ward	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-15	16	16.2	17.0	-0.72	16.2	18.2	-2.04
Marcus Camby	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-11	8	15.1	18.8	-3.69	16.5	17.1	-0.62
Kurt Thomas	23	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-3	-8	16.3	16.4	-0.09	17.7	16.3	1.37
Allan Houston	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	16.5	16.1	0.32	16.6	17.2	-0.55
Chris Childs	21	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	1	-16	17.5	16.1	1.40	18.1	16.3	1.90
Larry Johnson	57	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-1	-12	17.5	14.4	3.02	17.2	15.8	1.36
Latrell Sprewell	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	4	-22	16.5	15.7	0.85	16.6	17.5	-0.94

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	77	77	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.03	23	-9	32	16.8	16.0	0.78	17.0	12.1	4.87
Reggie Miller	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-2	18	16.0	21.1	-5.10	16.5	15.9	0.58
Jalen Rose	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	7	0	16.9	15.5	1.38	16.7	14.8	1.93
Mark Jackson	59	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	-2	18	16.5	17.1	-0.67	16.8	15.7	1.14
Rik Smits	33	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	9	-4	17.2	16.4	0.89	18.3	15.2	3.09
Travis Best	28	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	16	-18	17.1	16.5	0.67	15.7	16.8	-1.14
Derrick McKey	18	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	9	-4	16.5	16.7	-0.24	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Austin Croshere	54	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	14	-14	16.7	16.7	-0.06	14.9	18.8	-3.91
Sam Perkins	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	14	-14	17.9	16.5	1.48	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Jonathan Bender	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	17.0	16.7	0.31	8.0	16.5	-8.51
Zan Tabak	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	17.0	16.7	0.31	8.0	16.5	-8.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 105, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	95.2%
MIN 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DET 69, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%