NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	4.6 [872]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +11.0%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	1.2 [517]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	13	76%	0.20	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	11	72%	0.09	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.04
Bonzi Wells	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	63%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	90%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.04	17	63%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	17	54%	0.05	3	-0.07	18	78%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	13	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.8	34.2	18.6	24.5	3.3	28.2	141.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.8%

UTA -1.5%

POR +1.9%

POR +3.1%

POR +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	18.5	15.2	15.2	121.2	97.7	101.7
season	15.9	16.3		105.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.7	19.0	17.8	19.9	18.5
UTA	13.7	14.5	16.5	16.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	45	44	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-7	33	18.3	18.8	-0.44	15.5	14.8	0.69
Brian Grant	28	28	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	2	15	18.4	18.6	-0.22	17.1	14.2	2.94
Bonzi Wells	26	26	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	4	11	18.7	18.5	0.22	15.7	14.9	0.81
Arvydas Sabonis	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	5	9	18.8	17.8	0.98	15.4	14.5	0.91
Scottie Pippen	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	13	-7	18.0	20.4	-2.35	14.3	17.9	-3.63
Detlef Schrempf	39	40	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.14	11	8	3	19.3	17.9	1.37	14.9	15.4	-0.49
Steven Smith	60	61	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	15	-11	18.5	18.7	-0.20	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Jermaine O'Neal	11	12	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	13	-7	18.3	18.6	-0.31	16.0	15.0	0.97
Rasheed Wallace	48	50	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	16	-13	18.5	18.6	-0.19	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Damon Stoudamire	40	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	26	-33	18.8	18.3	0.44	14.8	15.5	-0.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-18	17	21.3	14.9	6.39	16.3	18.6	-2.29
Greg Ostertag	37	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-14	9	13.8	16.2	-2.37	18.0	18.9	-0.87
Quincy Lewis	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-12	5	19.7	14.6	5.13	16.2	18.8	-2.59
Jeff Hornacek	72	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-14	9	14.7	17.7	-3.05	18.7	17.9	0.73
Olden Polynice	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-7	-5	15.8	14.4	1.33	19.3	17.5	1.82
John Stockton	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-6	-7	15.1	15.4	-0.29	19.2	15.0	4.24
Bryon Russell	84	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-2	-15	15.1	17.0	-1.88	18.5	19.0	-0.48
Karl Malone	83	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	-1	-17	14.9	21.3	-6.39	18.6	16.3	2.29
Howard Eisley	24	24	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	-2	-15	16.0	14.9	1.10	16.2	19.5	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
SAC 115, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIN 114, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%