NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	76		Excitement	7.2 [388]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +7.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	81		Comeback	3.2 [452]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -39.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.03	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	64%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
David Wesley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.01	14	44%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Eddie Jones	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	18	42%	-0.16	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.06	-0.02	7	6%	-0.16	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	89%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ira Bowman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.05	0.00	12	46%	0.11	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.39,-0.39,-0.42,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.19	-0.19	0.01	27	39%	-0.22	5	-0.17	7	57%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	5.0	30.2	18.6	28.1	2.8	40.7	149.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.4%

CHH -2.7%

PHI +28.4%

CHH -11.8%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.2	86.4	89.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.0		101.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.2	16.8	16.7	14.9	15.9
PHI	15.5	18.3	15.3	16.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-6	7	17.0	15.4	1.67	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Brad Miller	18	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-5	5	16.7	15.7	1.01	17.7	15.9	1.74
Eddie Jones	75	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	16.1	14.8	1.28	16.6	14.8	1.79
Baron Davis	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	1	-7	16.9	15.3	1.64	15.7	16.6	-0.91
David Wesley	68	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	14.9	19.1	-4.25	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Elden Campbell	66	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	0	-5	15.4	17.3	-1.88	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Anthony Mason	81	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	16.2	11.7	4.51	16.5	13.9	2.65
Derrick Coleman	74	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	15.5	17.6	-2.12	16.2	16.7	-0.51

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	45	47	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-7	19	16.4	16.2	0.18	16.1	15.6	0.52
Theo Ratliff	77	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	16.7	14.4	2.31	16.2	13.9	2.30
Kevin Ollie	30	31	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-9	23	13.1	17.9	-4.79	16.0	15.8	0.16
Allen Iverson	81	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	3	-1	16.7	13.4	3.27	15.4	19.0	-3.58
Aaron McKie	73	70	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.39	-6	11	-17	16.8	14.3	2.46	16.0	15.5	0.46
Tyrone Hill	73	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	8	-11	16.5	15.6	0.94	15.3	17.9	-2.62
Ira Bowman	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	0.0	16.5	-16.49	10.0	15.9	-5.93
Matt Geiger	24	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	16.1	16.4	-0.25	16.4	15.7	0.76
George Lynch	51	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	9	-13	16.5	16.1	0.33	16.2	15.5	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.67,0.78,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.9%
MEM 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	92.7%
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	92.4%