inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 64 Excitement2.2 [1219] MVPVinny Del Negro (SAS): +6.7%
San Antonio Spurs 86 Comeback1.0 [855] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -11.3%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Chris Morris-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04664%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.06550%0.003-0.0120%0.00
John Stockton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Greg Foster-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02550%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Howard Eisley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.03937%-0.001-0.011100%0.00
Adam Keefe-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.0758%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03737%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Antoine Carr-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Hornacek-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.00-0.07816%-0.051-0.02333%-0.00
Karl Malone-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.170.00-0.062135%-0.082-0.03967%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.024100%0.0700.001100%0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.001058%0.0500.004100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.031242%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04743%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Brad Lohaus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01450%0.0010.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06250%-0.0020.00450%-0.00
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.00-0.041452%-0.014-0.041275%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.03854%-0.014-0.04887%0.01
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.120.00-0.06436%-0.033-0.03683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.52.032.016.830.32.028.0140.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.3%
SAS +9.8%
SAS +12.1%
UTA -1.5%
SAS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASASNBAUTASASNBA
this game16.918.115.677.1104.9102.5
season15.915.9108.1100.9
opponent15.915.997.2102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.718.218.414.216.9
SAS16.816.918.520.118.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn1413-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-232412.617.7-5.1517.218.2-0.99
Chris Morris3333-0.07-0.430.35-0.194-263013.718.9-5.2418.817.61.22
Antoine Carr1315-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-15819.216.42.7319.517.71.72
Adam Keefe2626-0.16-0.340.190.08-8-14614.517.9-3.4319.017.61.37
Shandon Anderson3535-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-171217.116.70.4518.917.41.44
Howard Eisley4341-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-171217.316.40.8316.619.5-2.85
Greg Ostertag4140-0.23-0.270.050.07-10-12217.016.70.2418.018.1-0.02
Bryon Russell3836-0.27-0.23-0.040.23-17-5-1219.614.55.1216.419.3-2.93
John Stockton2628-0.29-0.21-0.080.24-18-4-1418.516.12.3920.516.83.76
Jeff Hornacek4847-0.34-0.16-0.190.16-17-5-1216.717.1-0.4517.418.9-1.44
Karl Malone5654-0.35-0.15-0.190.12-16-6-1017.415.71.6517.918.4-0.56
Greg Foster5756-0.49-0.01-0.480.18-231-2418.014.33.6517.818.7-0.87

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Perdue42430.490.010.47-0.162202218.617.51.1417.716.01.70
Jaren Jackson59600.470.030.45-0.2625-32817.519.5-1.9718.013.94.13
Tim Duncan61600.420.080.34-0.141931618.716.32.3918.213.44.73
Avery Johnson52530.360.140.23-0.282202217.918.3-0.4316.717.1-0.33
David Robinson48500.340.160.17-0.161751217.518.9-1.4517.216.30.92
Chuck Person48480.230.27-0.04-0.01814-616.819.8-3.0117.116.50.54
Vinny Del Negro26260.180.32-0.150.03517-1220.017.22.7818.816.02.84
Carl Herrera19190.010.49-0.48-0.05220-1818.517.90.6114.917.4-2.54
Reggie Geary21210.000.50-0.500.15-527-3220.117.42.7314.217.8-3.57
Malik Rose13140.000.50-0.500.03-123-2417.218.2-0.9912.617.7-5.15
Brad Lohaus10100.000.50-0.500.06-224-2616.918.2-1.3211.917.5-5.63
Monty Williams11110.000.50-0.500.06-224-2617.218.2-1.0212.017.6-5.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 98, SAS 1230.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
LAL 94, GSW 1250.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
HOU 70, LAL 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%