NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	5.0 [781]		MVP	George McCloud (PHX): +24.2%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.1 [815]		LVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): -13.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	15	54%	0.00	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.04
Vinny Del Negro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chuck Person	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	68%	0.03	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Reggie Geary	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	11	57%	0.05	6	-0.15	6	67%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	14	43%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.03	-0.01	12	92%	0.26	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	14	60%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	47%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	14	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	28.3	17.6	28.8	2.7	43.2	149.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.1%

SAS -2.7%

SAS -1.1%

PHX +27.2%

PHX +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.6	104.1	113.7	102.5
season	15.9	15.0		100.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.9		100.0	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.0	14.5	16.3	14.3	15.0
PHX	15.6	14.9	13.0	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Geary	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-1	-5	11.4	15.4	-3.96	11.4	15.3	-3.88
Vinny Del Negro	78	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-12	17	14.7	16.5	-1.78	15.5	13.0	2.48
Chuck Person	38	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	0	-7	14.6	15.3	-0.67	12.4	16.6	-4.27
Avery Johnson	78	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	15.9	11.3	4.63	15.7	11.7	4.06
David Robinson	81	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-4	1	15.1	14.7	0.35	15.8	10.9	4.89
Jaren Jackson	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	14.8	15.6	-0.78	15.2	14.3	0.95
Will Perdue	40	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	6	-19	15.1	15.0	0.10	13.8	15.8	-2.00
Tim Duncan	93	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	2	-11	15.2	11.7	3.43	14.8	18.7	-3.83

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	77	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	14.3	17.6	-3.27	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Antonio McDyess	57	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	15.0	14.8	0.19	15.9	13.7	2.19
Rex Chapman	68	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-3	13	15.0	15.0	-0.01	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Jason Kidd	73	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	5	-3	15.3	14.0	1.31	15.3	14.2	1.03
Clifford Robinson	44	45	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-5	17	14.5	15.3	-0.77	15.8	14.4	1.42
Mark Bryant	59	60	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	11	-15	15.2	14.6	0.65	14.1	16.5	-2.42
Steve Nash	22	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	2	3	14.0	15.3	-1.31	14.2	15.3	-1.03
Dennis Scott	30	29	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	9	-11	15.7	14.6	1.04	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Kevin Johnson	45	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.15	-5	12	-17	15.5	14.4	1.09	15.2	14.9	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.5%
SAS 72, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	95.0%
CLE 76, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%