NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	6.5 [493]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +7.6%
Charlotte Hornets	95		Comeback	1.8 [387]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -16.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.07	12	85%	0.13	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Buck Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.06	0.04	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.02	0.06	5	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	12	53%	0.11	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
John Starks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	8	67%	0.12	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.05	11	80%	0.12	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.02	7	-0.19	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.08	0.01	17	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	13	68%	0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	11	45%	-0.07	1	-0.05	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	28.5	16.6	23.8	1.7	37.4	138.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +65.6%

NYK +7.0%

CHH -2.8%

CHH -20.9%

NYK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	14.3	16.9	15.6	111.8	103.3	104.4
season	15.1	15.7		102.0	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.1		106.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.5	16.4	14.2	13.3	14.3
CHH	14.7	18.8	16.5	18.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	74	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	3	3	15.4	10.2	5.19	17.4	15.0	2.31
Patrick Ewing	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	3	3	15.0	10.9	4.13	17.1	15.9	1.20
John Starks	51	51	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-2	13	13.0	15.9	-2.86	18.4	14.9	3.53
Charlie Ward	36	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	2	5	12.6	15.3	-2.69	18.9	15.7	3.16
Buck Williams	37	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	4	1	13.6	14.8	-1.20	19.2	15.2	3.96
Charles Oakley	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.01	5	4	1	14.0	15.0	-1.05	15.6	20.2	-4.59
Chris Childs	59	60	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	9	-9	15.2	12.7	2.54	15.6	19.2	-3.67
Allan Houston	65	64	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	4	1	14.0	14.9	-0.81	14.9	21.4	-6.52

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	36	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-9	9	14.7	18.2	-3.46	15.5	13.5	1.93
Malik Rose	13	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-7	5	21.3	16.1	5.18	14.7	14.2	0.47
Vlade Divac	73	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-15	21	16.8	17.1	-0.24	15.0	11.7	3.28
Tony Delk	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-1	-7	18.2	16.2	1.96	13.7	14.6	-0.97
Donald Royal	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	0	-9	15.3	17.0	-1.75	11.6	14.6	-3.01
Matt Geiger	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	0	-9	16.5	16.9	-0.39	12.5	14.5	-1.96
Glen Rice	87	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-9	9	16.9	16.6	0.27	14.6	8.6	6.01
Muggsy Bogues	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-8	7	17.0	16.3	0.74	14.9	12.3	2.59
Ricky Pierce	47	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	2	-13	17.3	16.4	0.81	12.6	16.1	-3.51
Anthony Mason	84	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	2	-13	16.5	20.9	-4.40	14.0	17.4	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 118, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.4%
CLE 102, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.1%
LAL 124, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.1%