NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	8.5 [168]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +39.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	3.2 [268]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -28.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0.40	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.35,0.35,0.4	0.22	0.17	-0.01	22	75%	0.44	2	-0.04	12	75%	-0.03
Wesley Person	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	71%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.02	0.09	10	64%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mike Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Wayman Tisdale	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	0.05	4	45%	-0.06	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.07
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.00	0.03	11	39%	-0.07	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Kevin Johnson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.2,-0.19,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	13	42%	-0.04	6	-0.15	5	80%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	11	83%	0.16	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	23	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	14	47%	-0.09	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Terry Cummings	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	8	55%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.13	-0.03	21	42%	-0.09	7	-0.19	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	75.8	1.7	28.2	16.7	27.2	2.5	45.5	197.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +73.6%

PHX +1.3%

SEA -28.9%

PHX +1.9%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.6	109.3	105.2	104.4
season	14.6	14.9		106.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.6		100.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.4	12.2	16.9	15.2	14.9
SEA	13.9	16.6	13.1	16.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	84	83	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-3	11	14.6	17.1	-2.49	15.3	12.5	2.76
Danny Manning	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-6	17	14.5	15.6	-1.06	14.9	14.9	0.02
Rex Chapman	83	84	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	0	5	14.9	15.1	-0.26	15.0	14.5	0.49
Mike Brown	23	22	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	17.5	14.1	3.36	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Kevin Johnson	86	86	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.36	2	3	-1	14.5	18.5	-4.09	14.7	17.0	-2.31
Mark Bryant	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	-2	9	15.9	14.6	1.27	17.2	14.2	2.99
Wesley Person	39	39	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	1	3	15.9	14.3	1.64	13.9	15.6	-1.65
Loren Meyer	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	5	-5	1.0	15.1	-14.06	0.0	14.9	-14.93
Cedric Ceballos	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	9.9	15.3	-5.45	18.4	14.7	3.78
Wayman Tisdale	38	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.7	0.44	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Hot Rod Williams	39	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	14	-23	15.3	14.7	0.61	14.8	15.0	-0.14

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate McMillan	38	38	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.17	1	-6	7	13.8	15.7	-1.84	16.7	13.7	2.99
David Wingate	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	1	-7	15.7	14.8	0.88	15.3	14.9	0.41
Sam Perkins	48	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	6	-17	15.1	14.7	0.40	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Shawn Kemp	88	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-6	7	14.5	19.1	-4.58	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Terry Cummings	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	16.0	13.9	2.06	16.2	13.7	2.51
Hersey Hawkins	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-3	1	14.8	15.6	-0.75	14.2	19.7	-5.42
Gary Payton	90	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.97	15.0	14.3	0.62
Detlef Schrempf	70	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.50	-4	-1	-3	15.2	14.2	1.01	14.0	17.3	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.57,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, LAC 74	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.34,0.09,0	91.3%
NOP 101, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	90.8%
SEA 87, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	90.6%