NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	5.9 [665]		MVP	Brandon Clarke (MEM): +27.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	134.1 [18]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -41.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Clarke	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.14	0.02	9	77%	0.28	0	0.00	8	100%	0.09
Desmond Bane	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.11	0.04	19	62%	0.21	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.01	6	92%	0.21	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	-0.00	3	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
De'Anthony Melton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	14	34%	-0.10	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Ja Morant	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.34,-0.4,-0.42,-0.42	-0.23	-0.18	0.01	18	35%	-0.23	7	-0.19	10	50%	-0.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	27%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.00	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.07	0.02	21	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	13	45%	-0.08	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	3.5	31.5	16.3	33.4	2.7	31.2	149.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.1%

MIN -13.0%

MEM +20.8%

MIN -2.5%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	14.5	107.2	97.9	110.8
season	14.1	13.9		112.9	112.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.5	14.0	13.2	15.8	14.8
MIN	13.5	17.3	13.9	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	82	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-4	17	15.1	13.6	1.46	14.9	14.6	0.37
Ja Morant	83	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.00	20	-11	31	14.5	16.9	-2.45	15.0	14.0	1.01
Brandon Clarke	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	10	-11	15.8	13.3	2.58	14.3	15.7	-1.36
Kyle Anderson	53	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	6	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.22	15.5	14.2	1.34
Dillon Brooks	74	73	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	3	3	14.8	15.0	-0.22	15.2	13.7	1.52
Tyus Jones	29	31	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	14.4	15.0	-0.65	14.3	15.1	-0.88
Jaren Jackson Jr.	42	44	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	-5	19	15.6	14.3	1.34	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Xavier Tillman	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	11	-13	13.5	15.5	-2.04	15.8	14.4	1.38
De'Anthony Melton	13	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	12	-15	16.1	14.6	1.43	15.9	14.7	1.17
Ziaire Williams	18	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	20	-31	13.1	15.2	-2.12	12.2	15.5	-3.35

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-9	9	6.0	14.9	-8.95	0.0	14.8	-14.84
Jaden McDaniels	48	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.27	7	-16	23	13.7	16.0	-2.31	13.3	16.2	-2.90
Jarred Vanderbilt	63	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-14	19	15.1	14.4	0.64	15.1	14.3	0.76
Taurean Prince	14	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.32	-17	8	-25	14.5	14.9	-0.42	10.3	15.7	-5.33
D'Angelo Russell	80	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-13	17	14.3	17.3	-2.96	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Naz Reid	21	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	0	-9	14.3	15.0	-0.67	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Karl-Anthony Towns	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-5	1	15.2	14.2	0.98	15.8	12.8	2.97
Patrick Beverley	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-8	7	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.7	13.0	2.70
Malik Beasley	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	11	-31	15.6	14.1	1.41	13.9	15.8	-1.85
Anthony Edwards	78	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	1	-11	15.6	11.8	3.75	15.7	11.5	4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.67,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.01,0,0	90.5%
PHX 103, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.23,0.17,0	89.0%
SAS 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	88.9%