inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 96 Excitement2.1 [1279] MVPKawhi Leonard (TOR): +15.5%
Toronto Raptors 115 Comeback1.0 [1292] LVPNikola Vucevic (ORL): -4.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khem Birch0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00582%0.052-0.011100%0.00
Wes Iwundu0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.110.000.08580%0.0300.005100%0.00
Terrence Ross0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.00-0.051150%0.033-0.012100%0.01
D.J. Augustin0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.04968%0.031-0.02475%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.01553%0.001-0.007100%0.01
Melvin Frazier Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerian Grant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03456%0.0000.001100%0.00
Jarell Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.05-0.00-0.051142%0.022-0.02250%-0.01
Jonathan Isaac-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.06721%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.140.00-0.101333%0.024-0.05743%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031030%-0.031-0.0100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.240.000.091196%0.172-0.016100%0.02
Kyle Lowry0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.001070%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.041663%0.082-0.02683%-0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.04564%0.072-0.024100%0.01
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.040.00-0.09844%0.052-0.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.03961%0.0300.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01859%0.041-0.0210%-0.01
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01560%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06828%0.0000.00250%0.00
Patrick McCaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malcolm Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02150%0.0010.002100%0.00
Eric Moreland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.831.215.026.33.431.6138.5
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +37.4%
TOR +2.3%
TOR +4.6%
TOR +4.2%
TOR +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game14.514.114.395.0115.0109.3
season14.914.3107.2111.5
opponent14.514.3105.9107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.816.015.012.414.5
TOR14.014.013.215.314.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Melvin Frazier Jr.14140.00-0.500.50-0.4716-35519.415.4-6.0215.513.91.62
Jerian Grant13130.00-0.500.50-0.4716-35519.515.3-5.7514.814.00.76
Jarell Martin1414-0.01-0.490.49-0.5619-385710.315.2-4.9414.414.10.37
Wes Iwundu2828-0.02-0.480.46-0.5518-375511.115.9-4.7613.314.4-1.10
Michael Carter-Williams3939-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-161313.115.5-2.3514.713.70.95
Khem Birch6260-0.16-0.340.18-0.377-263313.915.6-1.7014.912.91.93
Terrence Ross6464-0.29-0.21-0.080.30-201-2115.213.51.7114.214.00.17
Nikola Vucevic3737-0.31-0.19-0.110.43-256-3115.514.01.5313.114.7-1.68
Aaron Gordon5454-0.32-0.18-0.140.62-3213-4515.113.91.1814.014.2-0.20
Jonathan Isaac5857-0.41-0.09-0.330.23-223-2515.713.02.7313.614.8-1.24
D.J. Augustin5151-0.43-0.07-0.360.36-278-3516.612.54.0913.714.5-0.82
Evan Fournier7169-0.48-0.02-0.470.75-4223-6516.210.75.4214.313.70.53

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard65620.60-0.100.71-0.5138-195714.114.2-0.1416.611.35.31
Kyle Lowry53530.53-0.030.55-0.3831-124314.413.80.5316.212.73.42
Danny Green58590.430.070.37-0.3928-93713.315.3-2.0315.812.83.05
Marc Gasol47480.410.090.32-0.3024-52913.414.7-1.2516.712.64.12
Pascal Siakam65670.380.120.26-0.2622-32513.415.4-1.9815.412.92.51
Fred VanVleet45450.090.41-0.31-0.20109113.714.4-0.7314.314.7-0.38
Serge Ibaka40400.090.41-0.32-0.23118314.713.70.9413.615.2-1.61
Norman Powell38400.020.48-0.47-0.13514-914.613.80.8413.615.1-1.52
Patrick McCaw18190.000.50-0.500.32-1130-4114.614.00.6110.615.5-4.82
Malcolm Miller14140.000.50-0.500.47-1635-5115.513.91.629.415.4-6.02
Jeremy Lin14140.000.50-0.500.47-1635-5115.513.91.629.415.4-6.02
Eric Moreland13130.000.50-0.500.47-1635-5114.814.00.769.515.3-5.75
Jodie Meeks3031-0.050.55-0.600.39-1534-4915.313.61.6512.015.7-3.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 85, POR 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.5%
LAL 101, PHX 1370.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
CHA 111, GSW 1260.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%