NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	3.8 [1082]		MVP	PJ Tucker (HOU): +19.4%
Houston Rockets	127		Comeback	1.2 [787]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -9.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.06	22	72%	0.18	5	-0.07	9	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	11	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	19	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.22	0.01	0.04	9	110%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.00	0.07	15	77%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.00	0.06	9	86%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.02	-0.06	14	52%	0.12	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	24	50%	0.08	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	45%	0.02	3	-0.05	5	20%	-0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	3.5	26.7	15.8	30.4	0.7	31.3	136.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.7%

HOU +3.6%

HOU +8.5%

HOU +5.6%

GSW -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	15.1	14.7	106.1	125.7	107.5
season	13.7	14.6		112.6	112.8
opponent	14.8	15.1		105.6	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	15.6	13.0	13.0	13.7
HOU	13.3	15.1	15.2	17.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-28	34	13.9	13.7	0.20	17.9	14.8	3.14
Quinn Cook	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-28	34	13.9	13.7	0.20	17.9	14.8	3.14
Jordan Bell	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	13.6	13.7	-0.09	16.6	14.9	1.76
David West	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-16	10	16.5	13.4	3.18	16.6	14.9	1.76
Kevon Looney	24	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-20	18	12.7	14.0	-1.33	13.6	15.6	-1.96
Shaun Livingston	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-24	26	13.7	13.7	-0.02	15.7	14.7	0.99
Nick Young	34	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-22	22	13.6	13.8	-0.15	15.1	15.0	0.10
Stephen Curry	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	-2	-18	13.5	14.3	-0.80	14.6	16.2	-1.53
Andre Iguodala	58	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	0	-22	13.7	13.8	-0.15	14.1	16.4	-2.26
Klay Thompson	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.33	-24	2	-26	14.0	12.9	1.05	15.3	14.4	0.94
Draymond Green	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.31	-24	2	-26	13.9	13.0	0.86	15.2	14.6	0.64
Kevin Durant	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.37	-28	6	-34	13.5	14.5	-1.09	14.8	16.0	-1.18

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	70	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.35	29	-7	36	14.5	16.4	-1.95	14.7	11.8	2.89
PJ Tucker	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	0	22	14.9	15.7	-0.86	14.1	12.4	1.73
Trevor Ariza	75	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.32	26	-4	30	15.4	14.2	1.13	13.9	13.0	0.91
Chris Paul	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	9	4	14.9	15.4	-0.53	13.5	14.3	-0.84
James Harden	69	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.29	22	0	22	15.1	14.9	0.19	14.0	13.0	1.05
Gerald Green	33	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	13	-4	13.5	15.8	-2.35	14.2	13.5	0.74
Clint Capela	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.21	12	10	2	15.0	15.1	-0.06	13.5	14.2	-0.74
Joe Johnson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	17.1	14.9	2.23	9.9	14.0	-4.15
Aaron Jackson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	17.1	14.9	2.23	9.9	14.0	-4.15
Ryan Anderson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	17.1	14.9	2.23	9.9	14.0	-4.15
Tarik Black	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	17.1	14.9	2.23	9.9	14.0	-4.15
Luc Mbah a Moute	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	29	-36	17.5	14.7	2.75	13.2	13.8	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
GSW 86, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
VAN 73, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%