NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	6.7 [519]		MVP	Jeff Green (CLE): +21.9%
Boston Celtics	79		Comeback	3.6 [247]		LVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): -25.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.11	0.00	14	59%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.00	4	91%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.09	0.03	24	59%	0.27	8	-0.21	11	73%	-0.00
JR Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	6	43%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.10	0.01	17	63%	0.26	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.03	0.01	12	63%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	14	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	18	36%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	10	17%	-0.18	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.15	-0.10	0.00	14	14%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.3	26.3	14.8	26.4	3.4	35.6	138.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +76.0%

CLE +3.3%

BOS -13.0%

BOS -19.2%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	17.2	14.7	100.0	90.8	107.5
season	14.8	15.1		111.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.5	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.4	14.1	16.6	15.7	15.9
BOS	16.1	18.0	17.7	17.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	67	69	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.12	24	-16	40	16.1	15.2	0.84	17.2	17.1	0.19
Tristan Thompson	64	62	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-6	20	15.7	16.3	-0.61	17.5	16.5	0.96
JR Smith	77	78	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-6	20	15.9	15.5	0.45	17.1	18.4	-1.38
LeBron James	87	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	15.9	0.0	15.90	17.2	0.0	17.21
Jeff Green	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	15.7	17.0	-1.26	17.2	17.2	0.03
Kyle Korver	32	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	13	-18	16.1	15.8	0.31	16.7	17.5	-0.87
Larry Nance Jr.	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	17	-26	15.4	16.0	-0.64	18.1	17.0	1.03
Jordan Clarkson	18	17	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.10	-13	21	-34	16.3	15.8	0.48	17.0	17.3	-0.26

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	33	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-1	-6	16.7	17.5	-0.77	18.2	14.6	3.62
Marcus Morris	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-9	10	16.5	19.0	-2.46	14.6	19.0	-4.41
Marcus Smart	57	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-10	12	16.7	18.2	-1.57	15.7	16.3	-0.67
Al Horford	72	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-6	4	17.5	15.7	1.86	15.9	15.8	0.06
Terry Rozier	64	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	17.4	16.8	0.58	16.2	14.8	1.43
Jaylen Brown	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	3	-14	17.4	16.2	1.21	15.8	16.2	-0.35
Jayson Tatum	77	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.06	-17	9	-26	17.7	13.1	4.64	15.9	15.8	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0	92.9%
CHH 98, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.09,0	92.1%
ORL 98, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.1%