NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	4.2 [997]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +19.8%
Washington Wizards	122		Comeback	2.2 [583]		LVP	Serge Ibaka (TOR): -8.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	5	100%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	82%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Norman Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	63%	0.14	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	3	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	22	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Jakob Poeltl	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	3	71%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.04	-0.01	19	65%	0.23	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	3	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	23	55%	0.16	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	10	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	4	120%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	3.3	30.4	15.7	36.5	2.0	32.0	151.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.1%

TOR -2.3%

WAS +1.0%

WAS +16.4%

WAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	14.7	105.1	124.5	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		112.7	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	14.8	17.7	13.8	15.3
WAS	13.1	11.9	14.3	17.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-19	19	13.8	15.8	-1.96	17.5	13.0	4.46
Norman Powell	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-17	15	15.0	15.4	-0.38	13.8	14.1	-0.34
Lucas Nogueira	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-12	5	15.6	15.3	0.30	15.9	13.9	2.01
Jonas Valanciunas	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-19	19	15.9	14.8	1.16	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Serge Ibaka	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-15	11	15.4	15.2	0.13	13.9	14.3	-0.49
OG Anunoby	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-13	7	16.1	14.4	1.69	14.1	14.0	0.03
Pascal Siakam	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-12	5	14.5	15.8	-1.22	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Jakob Poeltl	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-8	-3	15.0	15.4	-0.48	10.7	15.0	-4.36
Kyle Lowry	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-15	11	15.6	14.7	0.95	14.6	12.7	1.95
Delon Wright	41	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-4	-11	15.0	15.6	-0.56	14.0	14.1	-0.15
CJ Miles	47	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	3	-25	15.2	15.4	-0.22	14.6	13.6	0.99
DeMar DeRozan	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	-2	-15	15.3	15.4	-0.08	13.6	15.3	-1.70

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	0	19	13.8	15.2	-1.43	15.4	14.9	0.47
Mike Scott	62	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	5	9	13.3	15.4	-2.05	14.1	17.3	-3.12
Marcin Gortat	52	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	7	5	13.7	14.4	-0.70	16.8	13.8	3.05
John Wall	72	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	7	5	14.9	11.6	3.33	16.0	13.8	2.23
Kelly Oubre Jr.	53	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	6	7	14.1	14.0	0.07	14.3	16.6	-2.29
Otto Porter Jr.	61	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	10	-1	15.2	12.2	2.92	15.9	14.4	1.52
Ty Lawson	34	35	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	12	-5	13.2	14.5	-1.26	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Markieff Morris	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	14	-9	15.6	13.3	2.33	17.9	14.0	3.94
Ian Mahinmi	25	27	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	13	-7	12.3	14.7	-2.34	13.6	16.0	-2.34
Tomas Satoransky	11	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	19	-19	12.8	14.2	-1.40	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Jason Smith	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	12.5	14.1	-1.63	13.0	15.5	-2.45
Tim Frazier	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	12.5	14.1	-1.63	13.0	15.5	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, DET 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 68, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
VAN 85, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%