NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Excitement	2.2 [1268]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +10.7%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.0 [1031]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -11.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	24	64%	0.13	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	7	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	60%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.23	-0.00	0.20	16	78%	0.07	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Iman Shumpert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	6	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	46%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.11	0.00	0.11	6	92%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.16	0.00	0.17	13	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	16	58%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.03	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	0.02	19	41%	-0.06	4	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.7	37.3	17.6	28.2	2.8	33.5	148.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.7%

CLE +8.0%

CLE +6.8%

CLE +3.7%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	14.8	124.5	111.8	107.7
season	14.9	14.7		113.5	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	14.2	16.2	18.5	16.1
BOS	15.3	14.0	14.4	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	83	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-4	21	15.8	18.3	-2.45	15.1	12.0	3.09
Kevin Love	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-5	23	15.7	17.2	-1.54	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Tristan Thompson	67	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-2	17	15.9	16.7	-0.79	15.1	13.7	1.38
Kyrie Irving	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	1	11	16.2	16.0	0.15	15.3	13.3	2.01
JR Smith	47	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	1	11	16.1	16.1	0.04	15.0	14.4	0.56
Iman Shumpert	49	49	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	15	-17	15.5	16.8	-1.29	14.4	15.0	-0.68
Deron Williams	23	23	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	9	-5	16.7	15.9	0.84	14.3	14.8	-0.57
Richard Jefferson	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	12	-11	16.0	16.1	-0.09	14.3	14.8	-0.57
Kyle Korver	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	14	-15	16.9	15.8	1.15	14.3	14.9	-0.58
Dahntay Jones	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	20.0	15.9	4.11	10.2	14.9	-4.74
Channing Frye	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	20.0	15.9	4.11	11.5	14.9	-3.41
Derrick Williams	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	20.0	15.9	4.11	11.5	14.9	-3.41

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Young	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	12.1	14.9	-2.75	19.7	15.9	3.80
Gerald Green	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-23	33	14.4	14.8	-0.39	18.1	15.4	2.74
Amir Johnson	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-10	7	14.9	14.7	0.22	17.9	15.9	1.97
Terry Rozier	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-12	11	13.8	14.8	-0.98	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Jaylen Brown	37	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-17	21	14.3	14.9	-0.60	16.7	15.7	1.09
Tyler Zeller	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-10	7	13.4	14.8	-1.44	17.3	16.0	1.36
Kelly Olynyk	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-7	1	15.4	14.4	1.00	16.4	16.0	0.37
Marcus Smart	41	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	14.4	14.9	-0.58	15.6	16.5	-0.97
Avery Bradley	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	14.9	13.8	1.06	16.3	15.3	0.96
Jae Crowder	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	9	-31	14.9	14.0	0.89	15.2	18.5	-3.23
Isaiah Thomas	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.12	-20	7	-27	15.0	13.4	1.59	16.0	16.6	-0.66
Al Horford	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	1	-15	14.7	14.8	-0.18	15.5	18.7	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, CHI 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
PHI 85, CHI 67	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DEN 135, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%