NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	6.5 [542]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +27.0%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	17.5 [127]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -20.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21	0.25	-0.01	0.02	19	78%	0.34	3	-0.13	12	100%	0.06
Solomon Hill	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21	0.13	0.10	0.01	4	110%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	9	79%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	70%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.03	-0.05	10	9%	-0.12	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Monta Ellis	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	10	36%	-0.12	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.16	0.02	22	60%	0.29	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.08
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.00	6	62%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	47%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	58%	0.05	4	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	32.4	17.7	35.0	2.8	41.0	161.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -18.0%

TOR +17.1%

TOR +10.0%

TOR +34.6%

TOR +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	14.9	108.8	110.9	105.1
season	14.6	16.1		103.2	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	15.6	14.3	17.0	15.5
TOR	15.8	15.1	13.9	20.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	41	44	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-4	5	15.3	15.7	-0.36	15.5	16.4	-0.83
Lavoy Allen	2	2	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-6	9	19.5	15.4	4.07	9.5	16.1	-6.60
Paul George	78	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.58	15	-18	33	15.2	17.7	-2.54	16.1	14.8	1.29
Ian Mahinmi	38	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	6	-15	14.8	16.0	-1.25	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Myles Turner	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.57	9	-12	21	15.3	16.0	-0.72	16.3	15.0	1.33
Monta Ellis	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.46	5	-8	13	15.1	16.4	-1.32	16.1	15.7	0.38
Ty Lawson	15	15	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	15	-33	16.4	15.3	1.06	14.1	16.3	-2.26
CJ Miles	34	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	16	-35	16.1	15.2	0.96	15.3	16.3	-1.05
George Hill	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.62	6	-9	15	15.8	14.8	1.06	16.6	14.6	2.00
Solomon Hill	55	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	5	-13	16.3	14.4	1.87	16.3	15.4	0.88

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	43	42	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-9	21	17.3	14.8	2.44	15.3	15.7	-0.34
Bismack Biyombo	43	43	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-7	17	17.2	14.8	2.40	15.6	15.5	0.08
Norman Powell	54	53	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-13	29	16.4	15.3	1.14	15.1	16.1	-0.92
Kyle Lowry	68	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-4	11	16.3	15.1	1.18	16.1	13.8	2.24
DeMar DeRozan	77	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-2	7	15.7	17.4	-1.72	15.3	16.5	-1.14
Terrence Ross	28	27	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	1	1	16.6	15.7	0.94	15.9	15.4	0.48
Jonas Valanciunas	45	45	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	9	-15	15.1	16.7	-1.61	15.2	15.8	-0.67
DeMarre Carroll	49	49	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	14	-25	15.1	17.0	-1.87	16.1	14.9	1.18
Patrick Patterson	53	51	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	0.09	-20	23	-43	14.6	17.8	-3.28	15.2	15.9	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.54,0.46,0.68,0.93,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	92.5%
PHI 101, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.68,0.9,0.78,0.73,1	91.2%
DET 75, IND 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.78,0.97,0.99,1	91.2%