NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	4.4 [946]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (TOR): +14.1%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.1 [1045]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -12.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	12	56%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Paul George	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.06	15	68%	0.16	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.03
Myles Turner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Ty Lawson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
George Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.02	-0.04	6	100%	0.18	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.03	8	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.09	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	6	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.05	18	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Delon Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	18	28%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.5	33.3	15.5	29.2	3.0	37.0	150.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.6%

TOR +5.0%

TOR +15.6%

TOR +5.9%

TOR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	17.3	14.9	96.7	107.7	105.1
season	14.6	16.1		103.2	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	13.8	14.6	15.2	14.5
TOR	16.8	17.5	17.5	17.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Young	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	12.2	14.7	-2.51	17.6	17.3	0.30
Glenn Robinson	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	12.2	14.7	-2.51	17.6	17.3	0.30
Jordan Hill	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	12.2	14.7	-2.51	17.6	17.3	0.30
Ian Mahinmi	41	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	14.5	14.5	0.00	17.4	17.2	0.17
Monta Ellis	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-5	-1	15.0	13.8	1.20	18.1	16.0	2.15
CJ Miles	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-12	13	13.9	14.9	-1.04	18.3	16.7	1.61
George Hill	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-3	-5	15.3	13.1	2.20	18.3	15.6	2.68
Myles Turner	28	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	14.6	14.5	0.14	18.8	16.6	2.20
Paul George	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.2	13.1	2.17	18.3	15.3	2.99
Rodney Stuckey	34	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	13.9	14.9	-0.96	14.9	18.7	-3.76
Solomon Hill	53	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	4	-19	14.1	15.1	-1.06	15.4	20.2	-4.75
Lavoy Allen	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	14.8	14.3	0.56	16.8	17.7	-0.93
Ty Lawson	26	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	2	-15	13.7	14.8	-1.15	15.6	18.1	-2.49

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	43	40	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-10	31	16.0	18.4	-2.41	16.2	13.2	3.04
Patrick Patterson	59	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-10	31	17.2	17.5	-0.31	14.9	13.7	1.27
Kyle Lowry	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	-2	15	16.9	19.2	-2.28	15.2	10.9	4.29
Bismack Biyombo	31	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	1	9	16.9	17.5	-0.60	14.9	14.3	0.66
Cory Joseph	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.15	5	6	-1	18.0	16.7	1.27	14.4	14.6	-0.20
DeMar DeRozan	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	5	1	17.4	17.2	0.17	13.7	16.0	-2.27
Jonas Valanciunas	60	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	10	-9	17.5	16.9	0.60	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Luis Scola	19	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	7	-3	18.7	16.9	1.75	15.3	14.3	1.02
Delon Wright	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	16.0	17.3	-1.34	13.0	14.5	-1.55
Jason Thompson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	17.0	17.3	-0.31	10.0	14.7	-4.72
DeMarre Carroll	37	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.24	-12	23	-35	19.0	16.1	2.82	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Terrence Ross	19	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	19	-27	15.9	17.7	-1.71	11.8	15.3	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAC 94, LAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DET 69, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%