NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	111		Excitement	11.6 [29]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +24.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Comeback	13.1 [159]		LVP	Mike Scott (ATL): -22.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.06,0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	23	55%	0.25	0	0.00	9	100%	0.10
Kent Bazemore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.10	0.02	9	54%	0.15	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.15	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.09
Al Horford	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	10	59%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Pero Antic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.15	-0.01	12	42%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.04	-0.19	0.00	9	40%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	0.00	7	59%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.08
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.09	0.01	14	55%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	5	69%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.10
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	15	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.18,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.49,-0.57,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	37	44%	0.36	6	-0.52	10	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	3.2	38.6	18.5	27.5	3.4	39.3	2.6	18.2	177.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +104.7%

ATL -31.9%

CLE +27.8%

ATL -49.0%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	17.0	15.1	106.7	112.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.9		106.7	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.4	13.0	13.0	15.7	14.3	14.0
CLE	19.2	17.0	17.0	14.9	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	77	76	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-14	25	14.3	13.1	1.23	17.9	14.6	3.26
Al Horford	36	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-7	11	14.1	14.0	0.18	18.6	16.2	2.37
Dennis Schroder	7	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	14.0	14.0	-0.02	18.2	17.0	1.19
Mike Muscala	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	7	-17	13.0	14.2	-1.25	17.5	17.0	0.55
Jeff Teague	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.61	8	-11	19	14.3	13.2	1.05	17.8	14.5	3.26
Paul Millsap	93	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-4	5	14.0	13.9	0.12	16.1	23.9	-7.79
Mike Scott	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-2	1	14.1	13.8	0.31	17.0	17.2	-0.21
Kent Bazemore	88	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	9	-21	14.4	12.1	2.24	16.3	20.8	-4.54
Shelvin Mack	58	56	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.30	-13	10	-23	12.8	15.5	-2.66	16.4	17.8	-1.39

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	75	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	-3	9	16.4	19.0	-2.63	13.6	15.3	-1.67
Tristan Thompson	81	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.63	-5	8	-13	17.1	16.9	0.12	13.4	16.6	-3.20
Matthew Dellavedova	86	89	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	5	-7	16.7	19.2	-2.53	14.2	13.1	1.11
Iman Shumpert	79	82	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	17.5	15.5	1.98	14.6	12.0	2.56
LeBron James	88	91	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	6	-9	17.2	15.7	1.56	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Timofey Mozgov	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	-4	11	18.7	15.9	2.82	15.3	13.2	2.06
James Jones	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	-6	15	16.1	17.9	-1.76	13.5	14.5	-1.04
Shawn Marion	8	7	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	-2	7	17.7	17.0	0.76	16.0	13.9	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.79,0.65,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.39,0.78,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.43,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,1	88.3%
UTA 108, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.54,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	88.1%
PHI 115, WAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.05,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.69,0.84,1	87.9%