NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	8.4 [201]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +26.9%
Atlanta Hawks	88		Comeback	5.2 [235]		LVP	Pero Antic (ATL): -25.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.25	0.06	0.21	0.02	20	55%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Lance Stephenson	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	13	64%	0.17	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
George Hill	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.12	0.02	12	50%	0.20	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04
Luis Scola	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	9	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	18	52%	0.01	4	-0.12	10	90%	0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.16	-0.01	21	57%	0.29	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.08
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.21	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.06
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	9	21%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Pero Antic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	0.01	7	28%	-0.15	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.3	37.1	16.7	31.4	3.4	41.6	159.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.9%

ATL -3.3%

IND +10.3%

IND +3.2%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	15.1	103.3	92.6	105.2
season	15.8	14.8		102.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	14.4	19.1	16.0	16.6
ATL	14.4	15.5	13.6	13.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	72	75	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.35	19	-12	31	17.0	14.9	2.09	14.6	13.0	1.59
Ian Mahinmi	46	48	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.54	8	-1	9	15.8	17.3	-1.48	14.0	14.5	-0.51
David West	74	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	1	5	17.0	14.9	2.04	14.3	14.2	0.04
Lance Stephenson	80	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	3	1	16.5	17.1	-0.57	14.2	14.8	-0.69
George Hill	70	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.45	-7	14	-21	17.0	15.3	1.67	14.6	13.1	1.54
Rasual Butler	3	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	6	-5	16.0	16.6	-0.61	16.7	14.1	2.61
Chris Copeland	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.20	7	0	7	16.4	16.7	-0.35	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Luis Scola	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	5	-3	4.0	16.7	-12.73	6.0	14.3	-8.34
CJ Watson	54	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.29	7	0	7	15.6	18.0	-2.45	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Roy Hibbert	23	24	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	19	-31	17.7	16.2	1.54	14.7	14.1	0.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	20	19	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.18	-5	-2	-3	14.6	14.2	0.44	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Pero Antic	52	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-18	29	14.9	13.5	1.44	17.8	15.2	2.56
Elton Brand	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	4	-15	12.7	14.5	-1.82	17.3	16.5	0.86
Lou Williams	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	4	-15	12.9	15.9	-3.00	15.0	18.7	-3.74
Paul Millsap	81	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-10	13	14.8	11.1	3.73	17.0	14.4	2.63
Jeff Teague	80	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-8	9	14.2	14.3	-0.02	16.5	16.9	-0.32
Kyle Korver	59	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-8	9	13.9	14.9	-1.02	16.6	16.5	0.09
Mike Scott	44	45	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	8	-23	13.1	15.3	-2.16	14.7	18.4	-3.76
DeMarre Carroll	74	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	2	-11	15.3	10.5	4.79	17.8	13.0	4.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.44,0.4,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	90.7%
IND 76, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	90.7%
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	90.4%