NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	82		Excitement	5.2 [762]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +10.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.2 [994]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -12.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Caron Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.08	4	112%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	11	36%	-0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.03	18	59%	0.14	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	54%	0.10	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.05	-0.04	13	47%	0.09	0	0.00	8	50%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.8	35.6	19.0	29.4	3.3	42.6	159.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +3.3%

MEM +1.4%

MEM +25.7%

MEM +20.2%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	17.1	16.8	15.4	97.6	109.3	104.1
season	15.6	16.5		109.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.5	17.4	18.3	14.3	17.1
MEM	14.3	17.8	16.9	18.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	18	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-14	16	15.1	17.6	-2.57	14.3	17.5	-3.21
Lamar Odom	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	15.2	17.8	-2.55	18.0	16.3	1.67
Eric Bledsoe	26	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-19	26	14.7	18.1	-3.39	17.6	16.4	1.17
Ronny Turiaf	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-11	10	15.7	17.7	-1.94	17.3	16.6	0.65
Chauncey Billups	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-3	-6	16.9	17.2	-0.38	16.9	16.7	0.21
Matt Barnes	47	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-11	10	15.6	18.9	-3.35	16.9	16.7	0.24
Jamal Crawford	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-9	6	17.4	16.7	0.67	16.4	17.2	-0.74
Caron Butler	39	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	19.0	15.4	3.55	16.8	16.8	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	40	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	1	-14	18.8	15.5	3.40	17.7	16.0	1.66
Blake Griffin	58	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.00	-17	5	-22	17.7	15.6	2.16	16.2	18.1	-1.86
Chris Paul	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.03	-19	7	-26	18.0	14.7	3.27	16.6	17.2	-0.60

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	65	65	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.06	19	-7	26	17.2	15.8	1.39	17.5	15.6	1.86
Marc Gasol	64	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-4	20	16.8	16.9	-0.07	17.4	16.1	1.24
Mike Conley	65	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-3	18	17.2	15.6	1.58	17.6	15.6	2.01
Tayshaun Prince	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	1	10	15.9	18.2	-2.29	19.1	13.9	5.16
Tony Allen	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	3	6	17.6	15.5	2.09	16.4	18.4	-2.01
Quincy Pondexter	48	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	5	2	16.4	17.3	-0.90	16.2	18.2	-2.05
Jerryd Bayless	20	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	15	-18	17.4	16.6	0.83	15.1	17.6	-2.45
Keyon Dooling	20	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	15	-18	16.1	17.0	-0.87	16.0	17.4	-1.37
Darrell Arthur	31	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	18	-24	16.7	16.9	-0.11	16.7	17.3	-0.58
Ed Davis	12	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	17	-22	15.2	17.1	-1.82	13.8	17.6	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 87, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 70, CHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.77,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%