NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	3.2 [1178]		MVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): +6.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	87		Comeback	1.0 [633]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -15.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	13	69%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	80%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	43%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.18	0.01	-0.08	21	40%	0.02	7	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	22	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.06	0.05	20	56%	-0.05	7	-0.10	14	93%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	37.5	18.0	29.5	2.8	39.5	156.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.8%

OKC -3.8%

OKC -5.0%

DAL +6.9%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.5	98.9	94.6	105.7
season	15.7	15.0		108.5	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.1	14.1	18.4	17.9	16.1
OKC	17.2	15.3	14.4	12.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	69	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-5	16	15.9	16.5	-0.55	15.6	13.1	2.47
Jason Kidd	75	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	0	6	15.4	18.6	-3.20	14.7	15.7	-1.05
Shawn Marion	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	16.1	15.9	0.28	15.3	13.6	1.70
Peja Stojakovic	32	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-8	22	13.6	17.3	-3.71	16.4	14.1	2.32
Dirk Nowitzki	73	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	7	-8	16.8	13.5	3.28	13.9	18.5	-4.69
Jason Terry	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	9	-12	16.0	16.3	-0.31	14.4	15.7	-1.29
DeShawn Stevenson	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	1	4	17.1	15.2	1.92	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Jose Juan Barea	24	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	6	-6	17.6	15.6	2.03	16.2	14.4	1.81
Brendan Haywood	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	9	-12	16.3	16.0	0.27	14.2	15.1	-0.87

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	13.6	15.8	-2.20	16.9	15.5	1.41
Daequan Cook	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	13.2	15.6	-2.35	17.4	15.5	1.83
Eric Maynor	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	5	-16	15.6	14.8	0.86	10.8	16.9	-6.16
Nick Collison	47	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	14.1	15.7	-1.67	15.2	17.0	-1.78
Russell Westbrook	79	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-11	16	14.8	15.6	-0.86	16.9	10.8	6.16
James Harden	67	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-10	14	15.0	14.6	0.39	16.1	16.1	-0.07
Kendrick Perkins	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	4	-14	15.5	13.9	1.65	15.6	16.8	-1.23
Kevin Durant	88	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-7	8	14.8	16.7	-1.95	16.2	14.0	2.17
Serge Ibaka	45	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	13	-32	17.0	12.8	4.19	16.0	16.2	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0	97.4%
UTA 108, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	97.1%
GSW 128, PHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	96.7%