NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	6.1 [573]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +27.9%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	2.3 [622]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -17.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.02	10	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Shannon Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	22	63%	0.14	7	-0.19	8	87%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.04	0.03	13	58%	0.06	4	-0.14	10	90%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.00	10	75%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	11	46%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	33%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	13	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.05	12	61%	0.05	5	-0.15	7	71%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	15	31%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.7	31.6	20.4	28.6	3.5	43.3	157.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +12.2%

BOS +5.2%

BOS +23.6%

BOS +12.6%

LAL -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	16.1	15.3	102.3	112.9	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		107.9	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.6	15.2	19.4	17.3	17.4
BOS	15.8	17.5	13.4	17.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	22	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-8	9	16.1	17.8	-1.66	16.7	15.9	0.86
Derek Fisher	57	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-11	15	16.4	19.3	-2.98	15.9	16.4	-0.43
Metta World Peace	78	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	17.1	19.8	-2.68	15.5	21.7	-6.24
Jordan Farmar	19	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	17.8	17.3	0.52	17.3	15.8	1.57
Sasha Vujacic	12	12	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-1	-5	20.9	16.8	4.10	13.7	16.5	-2.73
Lamar Odom	69	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-2	-3	18.1	14.6	3.49	16.5	14.6	1.95
Shannon Brown	19	18	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	2	-11	16.4	17.7	-1.29	19.8	15.1	4.74
Kobe Bryant	78	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	1	-9	17.7	14.8	2.90	15.8	18.4	-2.63
Pau Gasol	81	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	2	-11	17.4	16.8	0.59	15.7	20.4	-4.72

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	26	28	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-1	9	19.8	14.4	5.41	17.2	17.4	-0.19
Ray Allen	73	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	16.0	16.8	-0.86	17.7	15.2	2.57
Rasheed Wallace	35	36	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	19.1	14.0	5.18	17.4	17.4	0.02
Tony Allen	29	31	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	3	1	18.5	14.8	3.68	17.5	17.3	0.11
Glen Davis	36	40	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.29	5	2	3	17.7	14.9	2.82	17.6	17.2	0.41
Kevin Garnett	52	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	6	-5	14.6	18.4	-3.76	16.5	18.6	-2.05
Marquis Daniels	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	7	-7	2.0	16.3	-14.26	1.0	17.6	-16.57
Rajon Rondo	60	60	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	6	-5	14.5	20.0	-5.48	17.1	17.9	-0.74
Paul Pierce	68	68	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	15.2	19.7	-4.51	17.1	18.5	-1.40
Kendrick Perkins	45	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	7	-7	14.4	18.0	-3.60	18.7	16.0	2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.5%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.5%
PHI 75, CHH 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.98,1	93.5%