inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 114 Excitement9.2 [102] MVPKyle Korver (UTA): +24.0%
Denver Nuggets 111 Comeback3.6 [183] LVPChauncey Billups (DEN): -30.3%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.32,0.240.050.18-0.01776%0.422-0.18367%0.02
CJ Miles0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.180.040.14-0.001065%0.273-0.106100%0.07
Paul Millsap0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.08-0.00960%0.1600.001267%-0.07
Deron Williams0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.060.08-0.010.011472%0.277-0.201889%0.10
Kosta Koufos0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.010.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00267%0.022-0.0420%-0.03
Othyus Jeffers-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.030.000.00739%-0.021-0.024100%0.02
Carlos Boozer-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.090.02-0.110.001659%0.063-0.1520%-0.05

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.220.220.070.160.011067%0.272-0.05757%-0.04
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.160.160.060.09-0.011068%0.181-0.02250%-0.01
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.00564%0.0800.004100%0.03
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.020.00075%0.041-0.02475%-0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00267%0.072-0.102100%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.011041%-0.021-0.042100%0.02
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.10-0.002549%0.205-0.341593%0.06
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.3-0.30-0.03-0.28-0.001157%0.005-0.30887%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.53.635.119.737.54.444.5175.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +26.3%
UTA +4.2%
DEN -5.7%
UTA +24.8%
UTA +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game14.613.515.3109.6109.9106.0
season15.314.4109.5110.3
opponent15.515.0106.4104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.513.215.015.714.6
DEN14.915.011.113.113.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Deron Williams96930.52-0.020.540.404-1514.416.4-1.9413.89.93.93
Kyrylo Fesenko45430.400.100.300.1110-71712.616.1-3.5414.712.62.01
CJ Miles81780.400.100.290.4003-315.013.02.0914.011.92.05
Carlos Boozer88850.310.190.120.3103-314.912.92.0213.612.90.66
Kyle Korver54530.280.220.050.39-47-1114.115.1-1.0712.714.3-1.60
Paul Millsap71710.230.27-0.050.40-69-1515.313.02.2812.915.0-2.14
Wesley Matthews65640.220.28-0.05-0.018-51314.315.1-0.7414.012.61.42
Othyus Jeffers870.100.40-0.290.0421115.614.51.129.313.8-4.52
Kosta Koufos430.060.44-0.380.0021117.514.53.039.013.6-4.63
Ronnie Price88-0.020.52-0.540.01-14-516.414.41.949.913.8-3.93

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johan Petro1110-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-3313.313.5-0.2516.014.41.56
Chris Andersen3635-0.07-0.430.350.07-52-714.413.01.4314.114.9-0.80
Ty Lawson3232-0.16-0.340.17-0.13-1-2112.813.8-1.0013.415.1-1.75
Carmelo Anthony8588-0.20-0.300.11-0.262-5714.010.93.0415.012.42.54
Arron Afflalo4647-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-1-113.213.7-0.5515.314.01.22
Nene8791-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.381-4513.612.60.9914.515.2-0.65
Chauncey Billups7780-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.32-41-513.812.51.3614.614.50.17
J.R. Smith6365-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.37-41-513.014.3-1.2714.115.4-1.24
Kenyon Martin6872-0.540.04-0.57-0.48-2-1-112.914.8-1.9214.714.20.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.24,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.64,0.69,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 87, NYK 840.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.27,090.3%
UTA 100, DET 970.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.84,0.42,090.2%
MIL 91, MIA 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.42,090.1%