inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 119 Excitement3.7 [1072] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +18.3%
Denver Nuggets 92 Comeback1.2 [466] LVPAnthony Carter (DEN): -8.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.220.030.072071%0.211-0.029100%0.04
Trevor Ariza0.090,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.010.05994%0.132-0.0400%0.00
Pau Gasol0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.001271%0.143-0.054100%0.01
Sasha Vujacic0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.02287%0.0500.004100%0.01
Lamar Odom0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.14-0.000.101271%0.0400.004100%0.00
Derek Fisher0.030,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Luke Walton0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.01-0.01771%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Shannon Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01243%-0.0000.003100%0.00
Andrew Bynum-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03617%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Farmar-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0220%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.130.010.061771%0.122-0.0400%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.040.031751%0.0600.001580%0.02
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021346%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Hart00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.010.03560%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.021100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03750%0.035-0.09683%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.02750%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.0020%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.631.320.229.63.731.2144.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +49.4%
DEN -1.6%
DEN -0.6%
DEN -1.4%
LAL +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game18.014.215.5133.7102.2106.4
season14.914.4110.6109.5
opponent15.715.4105.2102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.715.618.920.818.0
DEN14.616.411.914.214.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant78790.61-0.110.72-0.3031-43517.819.2-1.3914.015.9-1.91
Pau Gasol80810.480.020.46-0.172251717.720.1-2.3914.214.6-0.36
Derek Fisher38360.450.050.41-0.192251716.818.8-2.0115.113.61.51
Andrew Bynum41400.300.200.11-0.161611517.118.7-1.5714.514.00.48
Trevor Ariza40400.300.200.09-0.201710717.918.0-0.1215.113.51.60
Lamar Odom57590.220.28-0.07-0.251611518.916.32.6314.114.5-0.38
Luke Walton48490.140.36-0.22-0.07720-1317.918.0-0.1513.714.9-1.14
Shannon Brown15150.030.47-0.44-0.12522-1718.817.81.0014.314.20.04
Sasha Vujacic1212-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-128-2919.617.71.8714.914.10.79
Jordan Farmar1315-0.110.61-0.72-0.02-330-3318.717.80.8515.813.91.88

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Carter17150.03-0.530.560.030-272717.213.53.6315.118.6-3.49
Jason Hart340.00-0.500.500.09-3-242113.014.3-1.2827.217.59.72
Johan Petro340.00-0.500.500.09-3-242113.014.3-1.2827.217.59.72
Renaldo Balkman220.00-0.500.500.03-1-262514.014.2-0.2434.017.616.40
Dahntay Jones2727-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-242113.314.6-1.2918.217.90.37
Linas Kleiza3534-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-11-513.714.5-0.8019.417.12.39
Chris Andersen3936-0.18-0.320.140.38-19-8-1114.713.90.8117.818.1-0.22
J.R. Smith5958-0.35-0.15-0.200.26-21-6-1514.214.3-0.0918.217.50.69
Nene6566-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.00-12-15314.812.72.1016.622.0-5.44
Kenyon Martin5554-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.01-13-14113.715.0-1.2517.918.1-0.29
Carmelo Anthony7171-0.44-0.06-0.380.06-17-10-714.114.6-0.5017.718.8-1.09
Chauncey Billups7474-0.600.10-0.710.19-270-2714.015.5-1.5417.818.9-1.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 132, PHX 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
HOU 103, SAS 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
ATL 105, PHI 870.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%