inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Excitement5.0 [841] MVPChauncey Billups (DEN): +16.3%
Denver Nuggets 120 Comeback1.1 [985] LVPLamar Odom (LAL): -13.7%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.150.020.041172%0.1300.00771%-0.02
Andrew Bynum0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.030.03782%0.1200.00367%0.00
Kobe Bryant0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.020.032652%0.091-0.021392%0.02
DJ Mbenga0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Vujacic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01467%0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Jordan Farmar-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.000.05759%-0.0110.00367%-0.01
Josh Powell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luke Walton-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01430%-0.011-0.0320%-0.02
Shannon Brown-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.00430%-0.052-0.03250%-0.01
Derek Fisher-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00736%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Lamar Odom-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.02825%-0.093-0.05450%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.040.001659%0.1600.009100%0.04
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00583%0.1000.002100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.010.05575%0.0500.006100%0.02
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.02861%0.051-0.02757%-0.03
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.001150%0.0200.00475%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01450%0.0100.00450%-0.03
Jason Hart00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.05-0.020.071760%0.043-0.07633%-0.05
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.010.001635%-0.071-0.031182%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.34.436.419.732.23.547.5174.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +9.0%
DEN +10.6%
DEN +25.6%
DEN +5.0%
LAL -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game15.515.015.5109.8123.7106.4
season14.914.4110.6109.5
opponent15.715.4105.2102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.615.917.512.415.5
DEN16.112.416.015.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DJ Mbenga330.00-0.500.500.000-191910.015.7-5.6610.315.2-4.83
Jordan Farmar3130-0.07-0.430.350.07-5-14912.716.9-4.1314.615.2-0.55
Luke Walton2425-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-151114.515.8-1.3216.314.61.76
Andrew Bynum4346-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-151115.915.10.8515.214.80.35
Josh Powell56-0.18-0.320.140.06-8-11321.415.16.2611.815.2-3.39
Shannon Brown3335-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-6-713.916.4-2.4513.915.6-1.76
Derek Fisher4044-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-13717.014.32.7416.014.21.73
Sasha Vujacic3233-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-7-12515.415.5-0.1613.615.7-2.17
Trevor Ariza4550-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-11317.014.03.0715.314.70.68
Kobe Bryant7982-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-8-315.316.4-1.0615.213.91.35
Lamar Odom6061-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.02-11-8-315.216.1-0.9014.416.0-1.57
Pau Gasol6570-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-18-1-1715.914.41.5215.713.12.58

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups82760.490.010.48-0.041811715.99.96.0115.913.32.62
Nene70660.430.070.36-0.101811714.516.3-1.7816.513.03.51
Kenyon Martin68620.350.150.20-0.091541115.813.12.6715.814.81.01
Dahntay Jones37340.320.180.13-0.06136715.914.41.4717.114.52.60
Carmelo Anthony67640.300.200.10-0.08136716.012.73.3016.014.31.66
Chris Andersen49480.250.25-0.000.16316-1315.015.0-0.0214.716.3-1.52
Linas Kleiza30280.200.30-0.100.02613-712.716.0-3.3014.316.0-1.66
J.R. Smith60590.180.32-0.14-0.08910-114.116.5-2.4314.517.3-2.85
Anthony Carter13140.010.49-0.470.07-221-2311.215.6-4.3613.615.8-2.25
Jason Hart210.000.50-0.500.00019-1912.515.1-2.5612.015.5-3.52
Johan Petro330.000.50-0.50-0.06217-1510.315.2-4.8310.015.7-5.66
Renaldo Balkman45-0.030.53-0.56-0.03019-1913.715.1-1.318.615.9-7.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 83, IND 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.5%
PHX 97, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,195.5%
NYK 81, PHI 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%