NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	2.5 [1254]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +10.9%
Boston Celtics	131		Comeback	1.3 [859]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -8.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.07	5	86%	0.00	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.03	16	62%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	22	45%	0.00	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.00	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.03	18	60%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	6	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.24	0.00	0.18	12	96%	0.07	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	4	137%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	20	45%	-0.04	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	3.8	39.7	21.0	32.1	3.7	38.0	167.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.1%

BOS +1.0%

BOS +12.8%

BOS +16.3%

LAL -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.3	15.4	93.9	135.1	105.7
season	14.6	15.6		110.6	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	16.9	13.1	13.0	14.3
BOS	15.5	15.9	15.2	14.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	22	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-32	25	12.7	14.7	-2.03	13.7	15.7	-1.93
Ronny Turiaf	23	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.17	-9	-30	21	14.2	14.3	-0.11	16.3	15.0	1.27
Sasha Vujacic	31	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.23	-11	-28	17	14.3	14.2	0.05	16.3	14.9	1.46
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-29	19	14.0	14.5	-0.45	15.7	15.0	0.68
Derek Fisher	57	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.26	-15	-24	9	14.0	14.7	-0.69	15.6	14.8	0.84
Luke Walton	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.29	-19	-20	1	13.5	14.6	-1.09	14.2	15.8	-1.62
Jordan Farmar	53	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.47	-27	-12	-15	14.5	13.9	0.59	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Lamar Odom	82	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.57	-34	-5	-29	14.6	12.6	1.95	14.9	17.5	-2.58
Pau Gasol	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.34	-28	-11	-17	14.3	14.1	0.20	15.3	15.2	0.15
Kobe Bryant	84	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.53	-35	-4	-31	14.7	11.4	3.38	15.5	13.6	1.95

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	78	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.53	35	4	31	15.1	15.9	-0.75	14.9	11.9	3.08
Kevin Garnett	72	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.47	32	7	25	14.5	17.6	-3.11	14.4	13.7	0.67
James Posey	51	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.32	20	19	1	15.7	14.8	0.96	14.4	14.0	0.38
Rajon Rondo	66	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.45	24	15	9	14.8	16.2	-1.38	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Eddie House	31	30	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	24	-9	16.2	14.8	1.38	14.9	14.0	0.93
Ray Allen	66	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.44	23	16	7	15.0	15.9	-0.90	14.1	14.5	-0.33
Glen Davis	28	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.22	15	24	-9	15.9	15.0	0.90	13.3	14.7	-1.46
Kendrick Perkins	28	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.13	11	28	-17	14.9	15.4	-0.51	14.4	14.2	0.23
P.J. Brown	34	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.17	9	30	-21	14.9	15.5	-0.63	14.3	14.3	0.00
Leon Powe	19	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	34	-29	18.0	14.6	3.37	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Tony Allen	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.17	6	33	-27	16.9	15.1	1.86	11.2	14.7	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 67, MEM 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 85, MIA 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHA 87, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%