NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	5.9 [615]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +20.8%
New Orleans Hornets	104		Comeback	5.1 [369]		LVP	Jannero Pargo (NOH): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	21	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	13	92%	0.06
Jason Terry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	79%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	7	25%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	0.08	9	41%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	16	41%	-0.01	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.03

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.06	0.04	23	66%	0.24	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	18	52%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	9	56%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	10	70%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.4	32.3	19.7	31.8	2.7	37.5	155.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +48.5%

DAL -20.4%

DAL -4.0%

NOH +19.7%

NOH +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.4	100.0	111.8	105.7
season	16.1	15.9		108.9	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.2	20.6	16.6	15.3	15.5
NOH	14.5	16.4	14.7	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	13.5	15.5	-2.00	9.0	15.9	-6.90
Jerry Stackhouse	55	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-12	12	15.0	16.1	-1.09	16.5	14.5	1.99
Juwan Howard	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-11	10	16.2	15.4	0.85	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Eddie Jones	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-6	0	14.9	15.5	-0.64	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Erick Dampier	51	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-6	0	15.8	15.0	0.87	16.3	15.0	1.30
Dirk Nowitzki	81	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	15.1	18.4	-3.30	16.0	13.7	2.31
Josh Howard	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	15.3	16.0	-0.77	16.2	13.6	2.58
Jason Terry	46	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	16.0	14.9	1.09	14.6	16.8	-2.13
Jason Kidd	76	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.1	17.3	-2.25	16.0	14.4	1.55
Brandon Bass	41	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-5	-2	15.0	15.8	-0.87	15.0	16.2	-1.30
Devean George	20	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-4	-4	19.2	14.4	4.78	13.5	16.3	-2.71

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	37	39	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-4	20	15.6	15.7	-0.05	17.1	14.3	2.81
Chris Paul	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-4	20	15.7	15.4	0.38	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Tyson Chandler	77	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-3	18	16.1	13.6	2.55	15.8	13.5	2.31
Jannero Pargo	50	50	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	3	6	16.5	14.7	1.87	14.7	16.4	-1.74
David West	80	80	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	0	12	16.2	12.4	3.83	14.8	19.9	-5.13
Peja Stojakovic	61	60	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	8	-4	16.1	14.8	1.37	15.7	15.1	0.60
Morris Peterson	42	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	10	-8	13.6	17.4	-3.75	15.4	15.5	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	16	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	15	-18	13.6	16.1	-2.55	13.5	15.8	-2.31
Julian Wright	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	16	-20	15.4	15.7	-0.38	17.0	15.2	1.80
Ryan Bowen	9	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	19	-26	12.7	16.0	-3.33	18.0	15.2	2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, BOS 118	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
MIL 92, ORL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
SAS 90, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%