NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	2.6 [1237]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +11.7%
Phoenix Suns	126		Comeback	1.2 [1240]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -8.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.06	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	8	39%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shammond Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	8	59%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	9	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	45%	-0.05	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	12	34%	-0.04	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	18	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	13	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	18	45%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	62%	0.04	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	73%	0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	3	70%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.8	30.2	20.3	26.5	2.7	31.2	139.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.2%

LAL -0.6%

LAL -1.7%

PHX +11.2%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	13.9	15.4	104.3	131.2	104.5
season	15.3	13.8		106.3	112.2
opponent	16.0	14.9		105.0	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.6	17.3	13.7	15.7	16.5
PHX	12.6	12.7	14.0	16.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-25	22	15.1	16.8	-1.76	15.6	13.5	2.11
Smush Parker	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-24	20	18.2	16.3	1.96	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Andrew Bynum	32	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-24	20	16.3	16.5	-0.27	15.1	13.2	1.86
Sasha Vujacic	38	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-22	16	14.8	17.6	-2.80	15.6	12.7	2.96
Brian Cook	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-17	6	16.2	16.6	-0.39	15.5	12.9	2.61
Jordan Farmar	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-15	2	17.3	15.7	1.60	13.0	14.6	-1.52
Luke Walton	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.28	-17	-11	-6	17.0	15.9	1.15	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Shammond Williams	38	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-16	4	14.9	17.5	-2.53	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Maurice Evans	42	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-19	10	15.8	17.0	-1.17	15.2	12.8	2.39
Kwame Brown	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	-11	-6	17.5	15.8	1.71	11.9	15.2	-3.34
Kobe Bryant	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.27	-23	-5	-18	17.5	13.9	3.60	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Lamar Odom	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	-7	-14	16.5	16.4	0.11	13.1	15.7	-2.64

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	70	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.25	25	3	22	12.8	16.8	-4.01	16.1	17.4	-1.33
Boris Diaw	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.34	26	2	24	13.8	14.1	-0.32	17.4	14.9	2.59
Leandro Barbosa	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.25	19	9	10	14.7	13.0	1.62	17.3	15.5	1.80
James Jones	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.20	17	11	6	14.4	12.8	1.63	15.8	17.7	-1.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	49	50	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	12	4	13.2	14.6	-1.31	16.8	16.1	0.69
Steve Nash	51	52	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	9	10	12.8	15.2	-2.39	17.0	15.8	1.17
Raja Bell	59	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	18	-8	13.2	15.0	-1.81	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Kurt Thomas	41	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	17	-6	14.3	13.5	0.80	16.4	16.5	-0.04
Eric Piatkowski	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	16.0	13.7	2.26	13.4	16.6	-3.23
Pat Burke	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	16.0	13.7	2.26	13.4	16.6	-3.23
Jalen Rose	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	31	-34	19.1	12.9	6.22	15.2	16.7	-1.50
Marcus Banks	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	30	-32	15.4	13.7	1.67	14.0	16.7	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 82, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
SAC 92, CHI 132	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
PHI 93, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%