inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 74 Excitement3.9 [1043] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +16.9%
Miami Heat 98 Comeback1.4 [1038] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -14.8%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeSagana Diop0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01171%0.0300.00560%-0.02
Adrian Griffin0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.033100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.01858%0.043-0.043100%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.011841%-0.0100.003100%0.01
Erick Dampier-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jason Terry-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.020.031846%-0.013-0.0810%-0.01
Josh Howard-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.01817%-0.101-0.01250%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki-0.150,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.01-0.001439%-0.064-0.091385%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.120.03-0.022365%0.224-0.05989%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.02968%0.091-0.02475%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.01865%0.113-0.051050%-0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.021158%0.0600.002100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.01267%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06233%0.022-0.0220%0.00
Jason Kapono00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02540%-0.011-0.02560%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02250%-0.004-0.0600%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.000.00420%-0.052-0.0420%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.54.438.420.731.73.035.2164.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +59.3%
DAL -4.0%
MIA +2.1%
DAL -2.1%
DAL -5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMIANBADALMIANBA
this game16.215.115.681.3105.4104.4
season16.415.5109.0106.1
opponent15.515.6102.3102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.419.413.815.716.2
MIA14.314.915.016.315.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adrian Griffin30330.00-0.500.50-0.176-303616.316.10.1214.915.2-0.29
Josh Powell670.00-0.500.500.06-2-222017.316.11.2314.115.2-1.07
Marquis Daniels99-0.00-0.500.500.20-7-171017.216.11.1515.615.10.47
Keith Van Horn99-0.00-0.500.500.20-7-171017.216.11.1515.615.10.47
Darrell Armstrong1012-0.11-0.390.280.09-7-171019.215.83.3913.315.4-2.06
DeSagana Diop3434-0.17-0.330.160.07-8-16815.516.6-1.0515.814.71.09
Devin Harris5556-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-191414.718.4-3.6415.714.31.38
Jerry Stackhouse5859-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-9-15616.914.91.9614.316.6-2.25
Erick Dampier3434-0.35-0.15-0.190.12-16-8-817.415.51.8614.115.7-1.59
Dirk Nowitzki7879-0.43-0.07-0.350.13-19-5-1415.818.6-2.8315.811.24.61
Josh Howard7172-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-18-6-1215.917.2-1.3614.916.0-1.06
Jason Terry6161-0.530.03-0.560.29-284-3216.415.70.7815.414.60.86

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal57590.390.110.28-0.262222015.814.01.8415.417.6-2.17
Antoine Walker76740.380.120.25-0.181951415.314.50.8115.917.6-1.80
Jason Williams60590.350.150.210.061014-415.314.90.3916.016.5-0.53
Dwyane Wade80770.340.160.18-0.071410415.214.40.8715.420.6-5.18
James Posey50470.340.160.17-0.312222014.815.5-0.6717.514.82.69
Shandon Anderson35340.240.26-0.01-0.02915-614.415.6-1.2117.915.22.75
Gary Payton37370.240.26-0.02-0.321951414.915.3-0.3917.615.22.37
Alonzo Mourning28260.130.37-0.24-0.04618-1212.516.2-3.7118.715.23.51
Udonis Haslem37370.090.41-0.330.12-125-2616.814.02.7913.318.2-4.87
Jason Kapono330.000.50-0.500.00024-2411.315.3-3.9219.316.13.25
Michael Doleac220.000.50-0.500.00024-2416.515.11.4017.516.21.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 91, PHI 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
NJN 109, ORL 1210.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.0%
PHX 102, WAS 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.7%