inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 78 Excitement5.5 [731] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +32.1%
Miami Heat 89 Comeback1.9 [817] LVPRichard Hamilton (DET): -21.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.02-0.04862%0.131-0.0500%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.02-0.021644%0.041-0.022100%0.02
Tony Delk0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.020.06480%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02325%-0.0100.0020%-0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.001250%0.042-0.06450%-0.02
Rasheed Wallace-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.011343%0.011-0.04250%-0.03
Dale Davis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00225%-0.0500.00450%-0.04
Ben Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.010.03440%-0.0500.0020%-0.04
Richard Hamilton-0.220,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.18-0.07-0.031532%-0.115-0.11475%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.190.160.021176%0.372-0.051979%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.03-0.00-0.03470%0.061-0.00250%-0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.03-0.03554%0.072-0.02367%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.001062%0.093-0.07667%-0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00050%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.020.021254%0.033-0.081533%-0.20
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.0140%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.23.637.219.531.64.437.6163.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +40.9%
MIA +17.7%
DET -13.5%
MIA +4.8%
MIA +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game19.015.615.692.9108.5104.4
season16.915.5108.3106.1
opponent15.515.8102.3101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.420.321.015.819.0
MIA13.015.716.916.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Delk210.00-0.500.500.03-1-1094.019.4-15.4024.015.58.48
Carlos Delfino210.00-0.500.500.03-1-1094.019.4-15.4024.015.58.48
Maurice Evans1615-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-10913.920.2-6.3013.816.0-2.23
Antonio McDyess3837-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-10919.618.61.0415.915.40.59
Lindsey Hunter3132-0.17-0.330.15-0.08-3-8518.119.6-1.4915.515.7-0.15
Dale Davis1414-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-7317.619.3-1.6715.415.7-0.32
Ben Wallace5450-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.07-8-3-519.917.42.4915.416.0-0.57
Rasheed Wallace4748-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.05-9-2-721.116.54.6016.015.10.96
Chauncey Billups6966-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-110-1119.417.32.1516.014.11.86
Tayshaun Prince7271-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.21-8-3-519.118.40.7215.715.30.40
Richard Hamilton7575-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.22-8-3-518.920.0-1.0815.220.0-4.79

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey53530.67-0.170.840.2315-41916.214.61.5518.220.5-2.40
Gary Payton41400.62-0.120.750.2114-31716.614.62.0218.919.2-0.26
Shaquille O'Neal62630.490.010.480.0216-52115.117.2-2.0919.916.43.48
Dwyane Wade76770.420.080.340.1983515.616.0-0.4119.415.14.25
Antoine Walker63630.290.210.080.1556-115.217.1-1.9318.421.0-2.56
Udonis Haslem56590.060.44-0.380.03110-915.715.50.1819.019.1-0.06
Alonzo Mourning11140.030.47-0.440.09-213-1519.515.04.4321.418.62.87
Jason Williams4851-0.090.59-0.67-0.03-213-1514.517.2-2.7118.619.7-1.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 96, PHI 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,193.9%
GSW 79, MEM 900.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,192.9%
LAC 104, NYK 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,192.8%