NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	6.4 [566]		MVP	Jim Jackson (PHX): +17.7%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	2.4 [764]		LVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): -12.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.02	0.05	21	63%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.03	22	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	14	79%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	13	68%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	11	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	0.07	17	50%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	7	11%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.09	0.03	14	72%	0.19	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	17	67%	0.18	3	-0.07	15	87%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	26	59%	0.12	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.06
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	18	42%	-0.06	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.8	30.4	20.7	28.6	3.7	39.2	151.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +20.4%

PHX +6.9%

PHX +27.0%

DAL -6.5%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	12.4	15.5	108.0	112.9	104.0
season	14.9	13.5		108.2	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	16.4	17.5	15.3	16.3
PHX	11.7	14.9	10.8	12.3	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	12	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-6	6	15.5	16.4	-0.90	10.8	12.6	-1.86
Jason Terry	87	86	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-7	8	16.2	17.2	-0.99	12.6	11.1	1.55
Josh Howard	75	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-9	12	15.8	17.8	-2.01	12.6	11.5	1.11
Marquis Daniels	12	14	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	3	-12	18.1	16.0	2.04	13.3	12.2	1.04
Jerry Stackhouse	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-6	6	16.1	16.9	-0.77	12.2	13.0	-0.76
Dirk Nowitzki	87	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	16.4	15.2	1.22	12.9	9.5	3.43
Michael Finley	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	0	-6	15.7	18.5	-2.89	12.0	13.6	-1.58
Erick Dampier	73	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	10	-26	17.5	13.1	4.41	11.9	13.7	-1.71

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	15	14	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-5	16	12.1	12.4	-0.30	19.2	15.8	3.40
Jim Jackson	94	93	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-2	10	12.6	9.4	3.18	16.4	15.3	1.08
Shawn Marion	101	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	12.4	0.0	12.39	16.3	0.0	16.29
Amar'e Stoudemire	93	92	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	6	-6	12.1	15.7	-3.65	16.1	18.0	-1.86
Steve Nash	89	88	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	2	2	12.2	13.8	-1.64	16.1	17.8	-1.75
Quentin Richardson	69	71	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	5	-4	12.5	12.2	0.29	15.8	17.5	-1.73
Steven Hunter	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	2	2	12.8	12.3	0.49	16.7	16.2	0.52
Leandro Barbosa	29	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	12.9	12.2	0.72	16.8	16.1	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
GSW 82, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	93.5%
PHI 82, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.0%