NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	3.6 [1115]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (MEM): +7.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	2.0 [304]		LVP	Brian Cardinal (MEM): -5.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	11	77%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	19	60%	0.08	2	-0.02	12	67%	-0.03
Steven Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	0.00	0.10	15	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	72%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	43%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	15	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	6	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.5	30.5	18.3	28.5	3.5	29.5	139.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.1%

PHX +5.5%

PHX +6.8%

PHX +13.9%

MEM -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	18.3	15.5	131.0	107.1	104.0
season	13.5	16.4		112.9	103.7
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.9	15.1	15.0	19.7	16.0
MEM	17.1	20.1	16.3	20.3	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	44	46	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.15	23	-3	26	17.6	14.2	3.34	19.6	16.7	2.97
Joe Johnson	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	-1	22	15.8	17.5	-1.67	18.6	16.7	1.89
Steven Hunter	32	32	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	2	16	17.9	14.8	3.13	20.6	16.9	3.68
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	9	2	15.4	18.5	-3.10	18.1	18.9	-0.75
Quentin Richardson	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	12	-4	16.0	16.0	0.00	17.3	21.7	-4.39
Shawn Marion	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	9	2	15.7	17.3	-1.62	17.4	22.5	-5.09
Steve Nash	64	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	15	-10	15.2	18.5	-3.28	18.2	18.6	-0.48
Leandro Barbosa	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	15.2	16.1	-0.85	16.4	18.4	-2.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Burks	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	16.4	18.4	-2.01	15.2	16.1	-0.85
Dahntay Jones	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-13	6	18.9	18.2	0.72	18.1	15.7	2.41
Bonzi Wells	17	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-17	14	19.0	18.1	0.90	18.8	15.4	3.41
Stromile Swift	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-10	0	19.6	18.0	1.58	17.5	15.6	1.84
Pau Gasol	55	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-24	28	18.4	18.1	0.28	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Shane Battier	46	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-16	12	17.2	19.6	-2.31	14.1	18.5	-4.33
Jason Williams	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-12	4	17.2	19.8	-2.60	13.8	19.1	-5.34
Earl Watson	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-11	2	20.4	17.1	3.24	19.8	13.9	5.86
Brian Cardinal	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-5	-10	19.3	17.7	1.54	19.9	13.7	6.14
James Posey	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-3	-14	19.6	17.0	2.63	17.9	14.2	3.72
Mike Miller	61	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-7	-6	17.9	19.3	-1.40	14.8	19.5	-4.63
Lorenzen Wright	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	-5	-10	17.3	20.5	-3.26	14.0	20.4	-6.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, ATL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
PHX 103, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CLE 91, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%