NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	78		Excitement	5.9 [671]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +8.6%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	2.3 [778]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -22.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	7	65%	0.02	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	30	52%	0.04	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	16	29%	-0.12	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.09	-0.02	24	46%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	14	100%	0.06
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	11	37%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.6	35.6	19.7	27.0	3.0	43.5	158.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +2.5%

DET +12.6%

DET +24.2%

DET +14.3%

PHI -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	18.7	15.5	88.6	101.1	104.0
season	13.9	16.7		101.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		98.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	15.0	14.5	14.0	14.2
DET	19.4	17.1	18.2	20.2	18.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	30	32	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-12	14	13.4	14.6	-1.19	19.0	18.6	0.44
Marc Jackson	12	11	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	14.4	14.2	0.23	17.4	18.9	-1.56
Andre Iguodala	73	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	-1	-8	14.1	14.7	-0.62	18.1	21.6	-3.48
Rodney Rogers	29	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	15.2	13.7	1.53	17.9	19.1	-1.19
Samuel Dalembert	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-5	0	14.0	14.8	-0.81	19.1	18.0	1.10
Willie Green	17	17	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	15.7	13.9	1.85	21.1	18.1	2.97
Chris Webber	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	14.0	15.4	-1.44	19.0	17.4	1.57
Allen Iverson	88	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	14.2	0.0	14.22	18.7	0.0	18.72
Aaron McKie	56	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	14.3	14.0	0.29	18.6	18.8	-0.20

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	37	40	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-6	22	18.5	18.9	-0.32	15.9	12.8	3.04
Tayshaun Prince	82	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-1	12	18.7	18.8	-0.08	14.4	11.8	2.56
Chauncey Billups	74	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	1	8	18.8	18.5	0.22	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Richard Hamilton	83	85	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	3	4	18.6	21.5	-2.91	14.1	17.7	-3.57
Rasheed Wallace	57	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	3	4	19.1	18.1	0.95	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Ben Wallace	77	76	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	8	-6	18.7	18.6	0.14	13.8	16.7	-2.93
Lindsey Hunter	22	21	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	7	-4	19.1	18.6	0.55	15.1	13.9	1.22
Darvin Ham	3	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	15	-20	14.3	18.9	-4.55	4.0	14.5	-10.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
PHX 73, SEA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.1%
BOS 93, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%