NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	78		Excitement	4.3 [952]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	2.1 [813]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -15.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	8	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	12	62%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	10	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	17	45%	-0.10	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	15	44%	-0.08	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.01	-0.02	21	65%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Devean George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	9	32%	-0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	13	43%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	14	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	10	40%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.7	33.3	20.7	30.9	2.0	31.3	150.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +17.7%

LAL +0.8%

LAL +7.4%

LAL +23.8%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.7	83.9	105.4	100.5
season	16.5	15.4		98.8	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	17.1	17.3	15.4	16.5
LAL	15.3	11.7	14.6	17.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	10.2	16.9	-6.78	14.1	14.7	-0.52
Scott Padgett	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-26	33	12.5	17.0	-4.49	17.7	14.2	3.53
Mark Jackson	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-22	25	14.1	17.4	-3.26	16.7	13.9	2.77
Bostjan Nachbar	26	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-16	13	16.7	16.4	0.21	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Yao Ming	62	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-7	-5	16.8	15.9	0.95	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Kelvin Cato	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-11	3	17.3	14.9	2.32	15.0	13.7	1.32
Jim Jackson	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-12	5	16.3	18.1	-1.80	14.7	14.0	0.70
Maurice Taylor	44	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.38	-28	9	-37	16.8	16.2	0.64	13.5	15.6	-2.06
Steve Francis	75	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	4	-27	17.1	14.0	3.11	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Cuttino Mobley	71	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.30	-27	8	-35	16.9	15.2	1.67	14.2	15.9	-1.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	79	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	-4	27	14.2	16.9	-2.68	17.2	12.9	4.26
Karl Malone	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	3	13	13.7	16.6	-2.92	16.9	15.6	1.34
Devean George	38	39	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	8	3	15.4	14.1	1.28	16.6	16.4	0.15
Slava Medvedenko	32	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	2	15	15.5	14.1	1.40	17.3	16.0	1.29
Gary Payton	44	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	13	-7	14.7	14.5	0.16	16.5	16.5	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	75	77	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	8	3	15.1	12.5	2.56	16.8	15.2	1.59
Derek Fisher	48	48	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	6	7	14.5	14.7	-0.16	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Kareem Rush	44	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.23	13	6	7	14.6	14.6	-0.01	16.8	16.2	0.63
Luke Walton	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	16.7	14.3	2.35	12.5	17.2	-4.70
Brian Cook	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	14.1	14.7	-0.52	10.2	16.9	-6.78
Bryon Russell	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	14.1	14.7	-0.52	10.2	16.9	-6.78
Rick Fox	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.14	-7	26	-33	12.5	14.9	-2.36	14.6	16.7	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 100, CHH 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	94.5%
CLE 93, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%