NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	79		Excitement	2.2 [1233]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +7.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	1.2 [839]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -10.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Porter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	9	29%	-0.04	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Malik Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.08	16	62%	-0.02	3	-0.05	13	92%	-0.00
Steven Smith	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	13	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	18	36%	-0.09	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	-0.01	0.07	11	96%	0.12	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.10	14	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	22	56%	0.03	4	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	592.6	3.0	31.7	-701.0	31.1	2.8	31.0	-8.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +48.8%

SEA +2.4%

SAS -1.8%

SEA +3.2%

SAS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SEA	NBA	SAS	SEA	NBA
this game	17.4	14.4	15.6	87.8	100.0	102.3
season	15.8	16.0		104.3	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		103.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	19.9	18.3	13.7	18.0	17.4
SEA	12.8	12.4	17.6	14.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-11	10	16.3	17.7	-1.38	14.6	14.4	0.24
Danny Ferry	3	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-8	4	15.0	17.5	-2.53	15.2	14.4	0.89
Mark Bryant	16	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-7	2	19.3	17.0	2.27	16.8	13.8	3.04
Terry Porter	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	18.0	17.0	0.93	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Cherokee Parks	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-10	8	17.7	17.1	0.61	14.5	14.3	0.19
Antonio Daniels	45	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-10	8	16.5	18.4	-1.96	14.5	14.2	0.28
Tony Parker	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	16.9	18.4	-1.50	14.3	14.6	-0.38
Steven Smith	72	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-6	0	17.1	18.9	-1.81	13.9	16.1	-2.27
Bruce Bowen	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	0	-12	17.8	14.5	3.30	14.6	13.0	1.61
Malik Rose	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	2	-16	17.9	15.6	2.22	14.0	15.9	-1.86

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	50	48	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-10	32	12.8	16.3	-3.45	18.3	16.5	1.86
Gary Payton	82	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	0	12	14.5	13.4	1.06	18.2	11.6	6.58
Vin Baker	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	4	4	15.2	13.1	2.04	17.8	16.9	0.89
Desmond Mason	84	84	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.26	2	10	-8	14.4	14.0	0.43	16.9	24.8	-7.92
Vladimir Radmanovic	70	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.21	3	9	-6	14.7	13.4	1.26	17.8	15.9	1.90
Brent Barry	55	56	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	9	-6	15.2	13.2	2.03	16.4	19.1	-2.74
Randy Livingston	40	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	6	0	13.5	15.1	-1.51	17.6	17.4	0.19
Jerome James	17	16	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	8	-4	13.9	14.5	-0.56	14.4	18.1	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
PHI 98, NOP 135	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
GSW 77, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%