inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 79 Excitement6.6 [475] MVPGeorge Lynch (CHH): +9.6%
Charlotte Hornets 80 Comeback15.8 [108] LVPTracy McGrady (ORL): -53.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monty Williams0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.01878%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Don Reid0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Troy Hudson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04-0.020.05-0.01744%0.0400.004100%0.02
Mike Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01458%0.0200.004100%0.02
Jud Buechler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.021064%0.022-0.03580%-0.01
Patrick Ewing-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Horace Grant-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.060.01475%0.051-0.0900%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0000%-0.031-0.0320%-0.03
Pat Garrity-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.0040%-0.082-0.0700%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.540,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.21,-0.54-0.13-0.42-0.022141%-0.243-0.30757%-0.14

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.07-0.00367%0.1000.0000%0.00
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.00862%0.0700.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.001100%0.032-0.052100%0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.011050%-0.041-0.03875%0.02
Jamal Mashburn0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.0160%-0.0800.0000%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.000.011136%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00637%-0.032-0.06450%-0.02
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.021225%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Baron Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0,-0.02,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.070.002449%0.024-0.17978%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game524.53.526.618.828.32.740.2644.5
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -12.8%
CHH +5.5%
CHH +30.7%
CHH +20.1%
CHH +6.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHHNBAORLCHHNBA
this game14.318.915.691.992.0102.3
season14.615.9104.6102.2
opponent15.615.8101.1103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL11.316.813.616.414.3
CHH19.221.117.118.718.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Don Reid15160.15-0.650.810.131-2314.614.30.3221.118.52.61
Monty Williams53520.09-0.590.69-0.086-71313.615.5-1.9118.719.3-0.69
Mike Miller2323-0.03-0.470.450.03-21-314.014.5-0.5218.919.0-0.08
Patrick Ewing2726-0.05-0.450.400.10-54-914.014.5-0.5518.819.0-0.12
Andrew DeClercq910-0.07-0.430.370.02-32-513.314.5-1.1220.318.81.55
Jud Buechler109-0.07-0.430.360.08-54-916.414.12.3319.018.90.08
Troy Hudson4546-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.361-2313.914.8-0.9418.918.90.01
Horace Grant6566-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.577-81514.214.8-0.6218.919.0-0.09
Tracy McGrady6163-0.550.05-0.60-0.581-2314.813.21.6619.417.71.75
Darrell Armstrong6668-0.620.12-0.74-0.50-43-714.613.41.1618.719.7-1.03
Pat Garrity5656-0.680.18-0.85-0.62-21-314.813.51.2918.120.4-2.21

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Lynch28290.84-0.341.170.579-81718.519.2-0.6915.913.62.30
Jamaal Magloire47460.75-0.251.000.499-81718.619.3-0.7814.813.81.00
David Wesley67660.56-0.060.630.502-1318.719.8-1.1314.414.10.24
Baron Davis87860.500.000.500.4710118.90.018.9314.30.014.34
P.J. Brown66650.470.030.430.55-34-719.317.91.4214.214.9-0.69
Robert Traylor1010-0.020.52-0.54-0.082-1316.319.3-2.9711.114.8-3.66
Stacey Augmon2020-0.060.56-0.63-0.03-12-319.818.71.1314.114.4-0.24
Lee Nailon4646-0.170.67-0.84-0.2010118.919.0-0.0415.313.22.17
Elden Campbell4343-0.170.67-0.84-0.03-56-1119.318.50.7814.014.7-0.72
Jamal Mashburn2119-0.190.69-0.890.10-1011-2119.818.71.1011.515.1-3.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.72,0.9,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, MIN 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.73,192.3%
TOR 96, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.34,0.47,0.84,0.86,0.95,192.1%
PHX 94, PHI 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.53,0.72,0.91,0.92,192.1%