NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	6.0 [593]		MVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): +15.3%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	2.4 [488]		LVP	Roshown McLeod (ATL): -16.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Wesley Person	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	9	69%	0.03	2	-0.05	11	73%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	16	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.13	0.06	-0.18	0.01	13	60%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.14
Andre Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	10	81%	0.17	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	80%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	13	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.01	5	71%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	12	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	7	21%	-0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.05	6	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	27.3	16.7	23.3	2.5	38.4	133.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.3%

ATL +7.5%

ATL +17.4%

CLE -21.5%

ATL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	15.2	104.1	106.1	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		98.0	99.3
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.9	12.9	15.4	12.6	13.4
ATL	15.9	17.7	14.6	16.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	45	47	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-14	25	12.4	14.3	-1.89	17.0	15.3	1.71
Mark Bryant	27	28	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-5	7	13.9	13.2	0.61	17.2	15.7	1.59
Earl Boykins	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-13	23	11.3	13.8	-2.51	17.1	15.9	1.15
Cedric Henderson	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	12.9	13.7	-0.75	16.0	16.1	-0.12
Wesley Person	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-6	9	14.1	12.7	1.43	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Brevin Knight	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	13.0	13.7	-0.63	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Andre Miller	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	4	-11	14.5	12.5	2.02	17.0	15.4	1.57
Lamond Murray	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-4	5	13.7	12.9	0.75	16.1	16.0	0.12
Bob Sura	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	12.5	15.1	-2.54	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Danny Ferry	49	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	8	-19	13.8	13.0	0.73	15.1	17.1	-2.06
Andrew DeClercq	58	58	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	13	-29	14.1	12.5	1.59	15.8	16.6	-0.78

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	51	50	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-10	23	14.7	17.6	-2.93	14.0	12.8	1.13
LaPhonso Ellis	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	0	3	15.5	17.6	-2.09	13.4	13.5	-0.12
Jason Terry	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	0	3	15.6	17.1	-1.45	13.5	13.3	0.12
Alan Henderson	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	-2	7	16.0	16.3	-0.27	13.9	12.6	1.31
Dikembe Mutombo	52	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	-3	9	17.1	15.0	2.06	14.7	11.8	2.95
Bimbo Coles	36	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	1	1	16.1	16.1	0.04	13.1	13.6	-0.41
Lorenzen Wright	54	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	6	-9	16.0	16.2	-0.21	12.5	14.5	-2.05
Roshown McLeod	36	35	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	6	-9	17.3	15.4	1.84	12.9	13.7	-0.78
Dion Glover	47	47	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.33	-10	13	-23	17.6	14.7	2.93	12.8	14.0	-1.13
Cal Bowdler	16	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	4	-5	15.6	16.2	-0.66	11.8	13.7	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
WAS 71, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 73, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%