NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	2.3 [1218]		MVP	Erick Strickland (DAL): +8.2%
Dallas Mavericks	117		Comeback	1.1 [754]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -9.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	16	66%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Fred Vinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	117%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazaro Borrell	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.07	10	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	16	33%	-0.09	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	13	75%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	13	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	61%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	15	58%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.09	9	56%	0.05	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.01	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	23.3	16.6	23.8	1.7	0.0	90.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.1%

SEA -4.0%

DAL +0.7%

SEA -1.8%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.6	15.2	103.0	117.0	101.7
season	14.9	14.8		103.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.4		104.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.9	13.9	13.1	12.8	13.2
DAL	13.7	14.9	16.9	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-29	44	11.6	13.5	-1.95	17.9	15.1	2.75
Greg Foster	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-22	30	13.1	13.2	-0.14	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Fred Vinson	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.53	18	-32	50	12.8	13.3	-0.48	17.2	15.1	2.06
Ruben Patterson	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-11	8	12.5	13.5	-1.01	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Lazaro Borrell	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-21	28	13.4	13.0	0.43	16.2	15.1	1.10
Brent Barry	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	0	-14	12.5	14.2	-1.75	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Vin Baker	65	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-14	14	12.8	13.9	-1.01	16.2	14.4	1.80
Vernon Maxwell	39	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.33	-20	6	-26	13.7	12.9	0.85	14.8	16.1	-1.22
Shammond Williams	53	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-7	0	13.4	13.0	0.34	16.3	14.8	1.50
Horace Grant	39	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.33	-24	10	-34	14.2	12.6	1.65	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Rashard Lewis	50	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.30	-25	11	-36	14.1	12.3	1.76	14.9	16.3	-1.34
Gary Payton	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.28	-25	11	-36	13.2	13.2	0.03	15.4	16.1	-0.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.33	28	-14	42	15.1	17.5	-2.44	13.7	11.2	2.50
Erick Strickland	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.43	29	-15	44	15.0	16.8	-1.81	12.9	13.8	-0.86
Dirk Nowitzki	50	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	-3	20	15.3	15.9	-0.68	13.5	12.9	0.52
Michael Finley	69	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-2	18	15.1	16.6	-1.51	13.7	12.1	1.62
Greg Buckner	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	6	2	15.5	15.7	-0.14	12.7	14.0	-1.31
Hubert Davis	55	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	17	-20	16.1	15.0	1.13	13.3	13.1	0.24
Cedric Ceballos	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	5	4	15.9	15.5	0.43	13.9	12.8	1.05
Sean Rooks	50	50	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	17	-20	15.9	15.3	0.68	12.9	13.5	-0.52
Damon Jones	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.47	-16	30	-46	17.5	15.1	2.44	11.8	13.5	-1.74
Rodrick Rhodes	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	29	-44	17.9	15.1	2.75	11.6	13.5	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
83, 123	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CLE 88, IND 136	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
WAS 84, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%