NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	84		Excitement	5.3 [741]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +13.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.3 [1090]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -19.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	18	50%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Gerard King	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Don Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	12	37%	-0.12	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.01	12	65%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	12	74%	0.14	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	61%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	23	43%	-0.09	4	-0.10	10	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	26.4	15.5	26.5	2.5	26.3	125.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.8%

PHI +1.7%

WAS -0.2%

PHI +33.7%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	13.7	15.2	91.3	97.9	101.7
season	15.5	15.0		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.5	14.8		98.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.0	17.3	17.6	15.9	17.2
PHI	13.3	12.2	14.5	14.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	15.0	17.3	-2.33	16.7	13.4	3.22
Aaron Williams	31	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-11	13	16.9	17.3	-0.41	12.3	14.3	-2.02
Don Reid	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-11	13	17.0	17.3	-0.27	13.7	13.6	0.11
Calvin Booth	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-9	9	16.7	17.4	-0.70	12.4	14.2	-1.83
Tracy Murray	40	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-12	15	16.6	17.7	-1.12	13.3	13.9	-0.66
Chris Whitney	42	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	18.1	16.4	1.72	13.2	14.1	-0.94
Richard Hamilton	69	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-8	7	17.2	17.1	0.16	13.5	14.1	-0.63
Jahidi White	31	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	2	-13	17.8	16.9	0.95	14.7	13.1	1.60
Juwan Howard	81	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	17.0	19.1	-2.14	13.9	12.1	1.80
Gerard King	38	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	5	-19	17.9	16.7	1.13	14.7	12.9	1.76
Mitch Richmond	62	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	10	-29	17.2	17.3	-0.09	13.9	13.2	0.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-7	23	13.7	13.3	0.38	17.3	16.9	0.33
Tyrone Hill	59	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-10	29	14.5	12.3	2.17	17.5	16.6	0.94
Eric Snow	61	59	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	-8	25	14.1	12.9	1.15	17.8	16.1	1.74
Toni Kukoc	51	51	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-2	13	12.7	14.7	-2.04	17.6	16.7	0.90
Theo Ratliff	69	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	0	9	13.2	14.9	-1.70	17.1	17.4	-0.21
George Lynch	57	56	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	0	9	14.6	12.2	2.36	16.3	18.6	-2.31
Matt Geiger	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	9	-9	12.7	14.1	-1.46	17.6	17.0	0.55
Aaron McKie	36	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	17	-25	12.6	14.3	-1.77	16.8	17.4	-0.65
Todd MacCulloch	5	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	15.2	13.6	1.63	15.0	17.3	-2.28
Jumaine Jones	5	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	15.2	13.6	1.63	15.0	17.3	-2.28
Ira Bowman	5	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	15.2	13.6	1.63	15.0	17.3	-2.28
Kevin Ollie	15	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	16	-23	13.3	13.7	-0.38	16.9	17.3	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 92, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%