NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	5.3 [740]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +23.7%
Orlando Magic	107		Comeback	2.0 [396]		LVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): -11.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.06	0.00	14	83%	0.25	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	72%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	8	64%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.06	0.04	12	48%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	4	67%	-0.06	1	-0.04	10	40%	-0.12
Sean Elliott	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	18	61%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	4	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.10	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	18	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	6	79%	0.06	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.4	15.8	29.6	1.8	43.2	144.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.2%

ORL +3.8%

ORL +10.2%

ORL +1.7%

SAS -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ORL	NBA	SAS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.3	15.2	105.4	120.2	101.7
season	15.5	13.6		101.6	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		99.3	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.1	15.5	17.6	15.8	16.5
ORL	14.2	17.3	13.5	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	9.0	16.6	-7.60	0.0	15.3	-15.28
Samaki Walker	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	10.5	16.7	-6.16	4.0	15.5	-11.54
Terry Porter	36	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.30	9	-19	28	15.2	17.3	-2.09	17.4	14.0	3.35
Antonio Daniels	49	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-15	20	14.9	18.4	-3.47	16.4	14.1	2.31
Sean Elliott	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-2	-6	17.6	16.0	1.65	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Mario Elie	15	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-4	-2	18.0	16.2	1.77	13.1	15.8	-2.63
Jaren Jackson	62	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-11	12	15.9	17.9	-2.00	15.6	14.6	0.98
David Robinson	65	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-8	6	16.6	16.3	0.37	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Malik Rose	40	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	16.2	16.7	-0.48	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Avery Johnson	43	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	5	-20	18.4	14.9	3.47	14.1	16.4	-2.31
Tim Duncan	78	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.18	-13	3	-16	16.7	15.7	0.95	15.7	13.2	2.50
Jerome Kersey	39	36	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	4	-18	17.6	15.7	1.90	14.4	15.8	-1.40

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.04	22	-12	34	15.0	15.8	-0.77	16.5	16.7	-0.22
John Amaechi	62	63	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.07	20	-10	30	15.0	15.9	-0.93	16.9	15.8	1.11
Bo Outlaw	65	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-2	14	15.7	14.1	1.58	16.8	15.9	0.88
Ron Mercer	71	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-7	24	14.9	16.8	-1.95	17.6	12.6	5.01
Ben Wallace	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-2	14	15.4	14.8	0.61	17.5	14.2	3.30
Pat Garrity	23	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	12	-14	14.8	15.4	-0.61	14.2	17.5	-3.30
Chucky Atkins	39	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.31	-8	18	-26	15.6	15.0	0.64	14.9	17.9	-2.93
Monty Williams	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	13	-16	14.8	15.4	-0.61	17.5	16.2	1.38
Michael Doleac	27	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.28	-10	20	-30	15.9	15.0	0.93	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Corey Maggette	3	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	19.0	15.2	3.85	12.8	16.7	-3.94
Anthony Johnson	4	4	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	17	-24	15.2	15.3	-0.03	9.2	16.9	-7.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 104, MIN 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DAL 106, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,1	93.8%
LAC 77, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%