NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	5.9 [619]		MVP	Greg Buckner (DAL): +26.0%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.4 [368]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -15.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.22	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	-0.00	15	78%	0.29	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Eric Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	67%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dana Barros	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	12	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	7	53%	0.00	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.06	0.02	12	96%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	24	56%	0.11	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	14	30%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	17	47%	-0.09	2	-0.06	11	64%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	25.1	15.5	26.3	1.8	40.2	132.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.7%

BOS +11.3%

BOS +6.5%

BOS +1.3%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.2	109.5	106.5	101.7
season	14.7	14.8		102.4	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	15.3	12.5	19.8	15.2
DAL	15.3	16.7	15.8	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	68	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-5	15	15.6	14.2	1.40	15.7	14.8	0.90
Tony Battie	57	57	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-11	27	15.6	14.7	0.85	15.6	15.2	0.37
Eric Williams	53	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-8	21	15.1	15.4	-0.37	16.0	14.6	1.34
Kenny Anderson	60	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	1	3	14.5	16.5	-1.96	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Calbert Cheaney	27	26	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	0	5	12.7	16.2	-3.57	17.3	14.7	2.67
Paul Pierce	58	58	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	10	-15	16.5	13.2	3.28	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Adrian Griffin	48	45	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	4	-3	15.5	15.0	0.52	14.8	16.0	-1.11
Dana Barros	40	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	6	-7	15.7	14.8	0.91	15.9	15.0	0.91
Danny Fortson	19	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	6	-7	13.6	15.6	-2.05	15.7	15.4	0.33
Vitaly Potapenko	45	43	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.21	-17	22	-39	15.2	15.3	-0.08	14.2	16.4	-2.21

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	16.7	15.1	1.63	19.5	14.1	5.48
Robert Pack	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	2	-9	18.1	15.0	3.09	13.0	15.6	-2.57
Shawn Bradley	39	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-4	3	13.8	16.6	-2.71	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Dirk Nowitzki	82	84	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-9	13	15.1	18.1	-3.03	15.2	15.4	-0.16
Steve Nash	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-7	9	14.6	17.3	-2.70	15.3	15.0	0.32
Greg Buckner	60	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	16.2	13.9	2.34	15.5	14.5	1.00
Cedric Ceballos	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	9	-23	16.2	15.0	1.15	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Michael Finley	87	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	15.3	17.0	-1.69	15.5	11.3	4.15
Erick Strickland	68	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	3	-11	15.7	14.7	1.01	14.0	18.3	-4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 101, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DET 96, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.17,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIN 97, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.08,0	93.9%