NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	3.9 [1013]		MVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): +12.4%
Dallas Mavericks	79		Comeback	1.4 [765]		LVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): -13.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.03	15	53%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	11	64%	0.14	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	18	61%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
William Avery	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.01	-0.05	10	29%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	14	79%	0.14	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	78%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	15	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	16	39%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	6	17%	-0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	23.2	16.4	23.4	2.3	30.6	121.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.7%

MIN +3.4%

MIN +6.6%

MIN +3.3%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.7	15.2	116.3	89.8	101.7
season	15.1	14.8		103.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.7		104.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.0	18.4	17.0	17.2	17.4
DAL	15.0	19.5	15.7	13.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.21	26	-5	31	17.6	16.2	1.37	16.6	11.3	5.28
Wally Szczerbiak	78	80	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	3	15	17.3	18.1	-0.80	16.0	12.6	3.41
Rasho Nesterovic	43	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	11	-1	17.1	17.7	-0.51	16.7	14.9	1.74
Anthony Peeler	50	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.12	15	6	9	17.6	17.2	0.39	15.3	16.3	-0.94
Terrell Brandon	60	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	7	7	17.9	16.1	1.83	14.5	18.5	-3.99
Bobby Jackson	26	26	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	14	-7	16.1	17.9	-1.83	18.5	14.5	3.99
Joe Smith	44	47	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	16	-11	17.9	16.9	0.96	16.0	15.4	0.63
Malik Sealy	52	55	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	13	-5	17.2	17.6	-0.37	14.4	17.9	-3.49
William Avery	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.5	17.5	-5.01	4.0	16.0	-12.00
Tom Hammonds	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.5	17.5	-5.01	4.0	16.0	-12.00

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-27	33	10.8	16.6	-5.82	16.7	17.5	-0.83
Damon Jones	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-15	9	7.7	16.3	-8.65	18.6	17.3	1.28
Robert Pack	17	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-12	3	18.9	15.0	3.98	15.2	17.9	-2.77
Sean Rooks	23	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-17	13	17.9	15.0	2.96	16.1	17.9	-1.82
Hubert Davis	59	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-16	11	14.1	19.0	-4.83	17.1	18.0	-0.98
Erick Strickland	64	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-6	-9	15.6	16.1	-0.55	17.5	17.0	0.54
Greg Buckner	45	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-10	-1	16.1	15.4	0.69	16.8	18.0	-1.18
Shawn Bradley	61	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-8	-5	15.9	15.3	0.62	17.8	16.5	1.28
Dirk Nowitzki	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.19	-22	1	-23	16.2	13.1	3.16	18.1	13.7	4.40
Michael Finley	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.22	-26	5	-31	16.3	11.0	5.33	17.8	13.8	4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NOP 119, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
UTA 120, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%