NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	9.4 [92]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (ORL): +36.6%
Washington Wizards	85		Comeback	3.9 [202]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): -27.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.26,0.37	0.05	0.32	0.00	13	58%	0.39	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,0.19	-0.00	0.19	-0.00	6	42%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	11	54%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
John Amaechi	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	72%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	8	44%	-0.15	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.17
Darrell Armstrong	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.08	-0.01	16	19%	-0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	10	36%	-0.17	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.17	-0.10	0.00	6	22%	-0.18	3	-0.10	6	33%	-0.10

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,-0.09,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	-0.00	19	62%	0.44	3	-0.24	2	100%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	10	50%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.11
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	14	34%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	25.5	14.6	24.9	2.0	30.1	122.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +9.3%

WAS -26.4%

ORL +28.0%

ORL +37.5%

ORL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	15.2	89.7	88.5	101.7
season	13.6	15.5		100.4	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.4		104.4	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.4	12.5	13.8	16.6	13.9
WAS	14.3	15.2	16.2	18.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	47	48	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.60	10	-8	18	14.1	13.8	0.24	16.6	15.2	1.46
Pat Garrity	29	27	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	15.6	13.2	2.30	17.0	15.5	1.46
Michael Doleac	32	33	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	-1	4	12.4	14.7	-2.33	16.9	15.4	1.51
Bo Outlaw	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	-1	4	14.0	13.9	0.14	14.9	17.3	-2.43
Darrell Armstrong	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	6	-10	14.1	13.7	0.44	14.9	17.3	-2.44
Ben Wallace	56	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	0	2	13.8	14.1	-0.23	16.3	15.4	0.92
Derek Strong	25	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	1	0	14.0	13.9	0.03	15.8	16.0	-0.14
Anthony Johnson	44	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	1	0	13.9	14.0	-0.05	15.2	16.5	-1.27
Monty Williams	47	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	4	-6	13.7	14.2	-0.54	16.8	15.1	1.79
John Amaechi	52	51	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	4	-6	14.1	13.8	0.34	14.4	17.7	-3.34
Corey Maggette	42	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	6	-10	13.8	14.0	-0.23	17.6	14.7	2.90

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	68	70	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-6	10	16.1	15.5	0.64	14.0	13.9	0.07
Mitch Richmond	46	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	14.8	16.9	-2.05	14.0	13.8	0.20
Chris Whitney	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-2	2	16.9	15.5	1.35	13.8	14.0	-0.16
Juwan Howard	86	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-5	8	16.3	12.9	3.37	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Jahidi White	26	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	7	-16	16.3	15.8	0.48	12.8	14.3	-1.49
Rod Strickland	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	0	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.35	14.0	13.8	0.16
Richard Hamilton	50	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	16.9	14.8	2.05	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Gerard King	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-1	0	15.1	18.3	-3.20	14.5	12.2	2.29
Aaron Williams	37	37	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	1	-4	16.1	15.8	0.31	13.8	14.0	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 95, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.4%
DET 82, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.42,0	91.0%
ATL 89, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.04,0	91.0%