NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	7.2 [372]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +16.1%
Dallas Mavericks	85		Comeback	1.4 [679]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -23.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.16	0.15	0.06	0.05	13	78%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.02	9	61%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Quincy Lewis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	21	39%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
John Stockton	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	10	33%	-0.12	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	19	65%	0.16	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	28%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	35%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	18	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	23%	-0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.0	28.7	15.8	23.8	1.8	37.6	130.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.1%

UTA +3.8%

UTA +24.1%

UTA +2.6%

UTA +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.2	95.8	90.4	101.7
season	16.3	14.8		104.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.2		104.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	15.2	15.0	15.8	15.3
DAL	17.4	14.1	13.2	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	72	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-9	25	14.2	18.6	-4.33	15.1	14.7	0.32
John Stockton	54	55	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-6	19	14.1	16.9	-2.84	15.1	14.8	0.27
Karl Malone	80	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.26	12	-5	17	15.0	16.9	-1.85	15.0	14.9	0.05
Bryon Russell	72	70	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	14.6	17.6	-3.06	15.6	13.2	2.43
Olden Polynice	31	31	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	0	7	15.2	15.4	-0.21	17.0	14.0	3.06
Greg Ostertag	56	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	7	-7	15.6	15.0	0.61	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Quincy Lewis	24	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	17.6	14.6	3.06	13.2	15.6	-2.43
Armen Gilliam	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	12	-17	17.1	14.9	2.21	15.5	14.9	0.62
Jacque Vaughn	20	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	12	-17	19.0	14.4	4.63	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Howard Eisley	52	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	17	-27	16.3	14.1	2.21	13.8	16.2	-2.39

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	18	19	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.02	7	-14	21	13.2	15.4	-2.24	17.3	14.8	2.47
Shawn Bradley	26	28	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.20	10	-17	27	14.6	15.1	-0.56	18.4	14.1	4.37
Cedric Ceballos	65	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-14	21	14.0	17.2	-3.17	15.6	14.6	1.08
Erick Strickland	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-9	11	15.2	14.8	0.34	15.5	15.2	0.33
Steve Nash	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-2	-3	15.4	14.4	0.96	15.5	15.1	0.34
Robert Pack	14	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	1	-9	14.2	15.1	-0.90	13.5	15.6	-2.15
Dennis Rodman	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	5	-17	15.8	13.7	2.11	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Sean Rooks	38	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	9	-25	16.0	14.3	1.71	14.7	15.8	-1.04
Michael Finley	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	1	-9	14.7	16.3	-1.61	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Dirk Nowitzki	83	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	5	-17	15.3	12.5	2.76	14.7	19.2	-4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0	92.8%
POR 89, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.04,0	92.6%
MIA 99, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0	92.5%