NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	67		Excitement	2.2 [1227]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +5.4%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	1.2 [1164]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -8.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	43%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	56%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	10	30%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	13	32%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	13	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Keon Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.00	0.08	12	54%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.00	-0.10	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.12	0.00	-0.13	4	25%	0.01	3	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.09	10	71%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	55%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	6	46%	0.02	5	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	9	42%	-0.04	5	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.4	15.6	23.1	1.7	25.2	119.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.4%

PHX +1.0%

PHX +9.6%

PHX +4.8%

PHX +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.2	69.8	91.5	101.7
season	14.8	14.8		101.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		96.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.2	16.5	14.6	12.9	15.0
PHX	14.4	17.0	15.4	14.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Rogers	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.56	19	-38	57	11.0	15.8	-4.79	15.6	15.3	0.32
Cory Alexander	30	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-33	47	13.2	15.8	-2.55	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Popeye Jones	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.57	19	-38	57	12.5	16.0	-3.57	15.0	15.5	-0.42
Chris Gatling	31	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.30	-14	-5	-9	16.1	14.5	1.59	16.2	14.9	1.27
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-22	25	14.7	15.6	-0.94	14.4	17.2	-2.86
James Posey	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-24	29	15.0	15.0	0.03	15.4	15.2	0.12
Raef LaFrentz	39	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.42	-23	4	-27	16.6	13.9	2.74	13.8	16.3	-2.55
Bryant Stith	33	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.37	-22	3	-25	15.6	14.7	0.94	17.2	14.4	2.86
Keon Clark	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.27	-19	0	-19	15.6	14.7	0.95	16.8	14.6	2.25
George McCloud	36	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.41	-24	5	-29	15.5	14.7	0.82	16.2	14.8	1.37
Antonio McDyess	52	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	5	-29	15.6	14.2	1.41	15.0	15.7	-0.76
Nick Van Exel	58	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.45	-29	10	-39	15.3	14.5	0.77	15.1	15.7	-0.66

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.66	38	-19	57	14.7	16.5	-1.78	15.4	14.2	1.21
Jason Kidd	54	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.46	29	-10	39	14.8	16.0	-1.17	15.3	14.6	0.62
Tom Gugliotta	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.61	34	-15	49	14.6	16.3	-1.70	15.2	14.7	0.55
Clifford Robinson	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.56	32	-13	45	14.6	16.9	-2.27	15.5	14.0	1.51
Shawn Marion	69	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	20	-21	15.6	14.5	1.10	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Rodney Rogers	33	36	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.48	26	-7	33	15.7	15.1	0.57	16.3	14.2	2.15
Corie Blount	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.55	-15	34	-49	16.3	14.6	1.70	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Randy Livingston	37	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	24	-29	15.8	15.0	0.75	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Rex Chapman	27	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.52	-16	35	-51	17.0	14.7	2.34	15.5	14.8	0.67
Toby Bailey	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.56	-19	38	-57	16.0	15.2	0.80	12.2	15.8	-3.52
Mark West	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	27	-35	15.7	15.3	0.37	8.6	15.6	-6.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.5%
CLE 74, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
ORL 98, BOS 128	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%