NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	75		Excitement	3.0 [1145]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +7.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.0 [1145]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -13.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	12	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	25%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	49%	-0.04	3	-0.03	9	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	44%	-0.05	4	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	-0.02	-0.07	15	32%	-0.07	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	9	56%	0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	89%	0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	78%	0.02	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.17	-0.01	-0.11	23	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.3	15.4	26.5	2.5	29.5	128.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.2%

CLE -3.2%

PHI +2.3%

PHI +14.3%

PHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.7	15.2	78.9	111.8	101.7
season	14.1	15.0		98.0	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		98.1	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	19.7	12.0	15.1	15.9
PHI	14.3	12.1	19.7	13.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-23	17	14.6	16.0	-1.38	12.6	14.9	-2.32
Ryan Stack	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-29	29	12.5	16.4	-3.97	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Earl Boykins	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.32	-13	-16	3	16.9	15.3	1.62	14.8	14.7	0.15
Andrew DeClercq	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-19	9	16.1	15.8	0.32	15.3	14.4	0.96
Danny Ferry	54	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.35	-21	-8	-13	16.2	15.5	0.65	14.3	15.3	-1.07
Wesley Person	72	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-12	-5	16.2	14.9	1.34	14.8	14.6	0.25
Shawn Kemp	62	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-13	-3	16.4	14.9	1.45	14.3	15.6	-1.34
Lamond Murray	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	-7	-15	15.5	16.7	-1.23	15.4	13.2	2.14
Mark Bryant	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	-12	-5	17.0	14.6	2.32	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Andre Miller	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	-6	-17	14.7	20.6	-5.87	15.0	13.6	1.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.42	30	-1	31	14.6	15.1	-0.47	16.2	15.2	0.95
George Lynch	61	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	17	-5	15.3	13.6	1.70	14.7	18.2	-3.52
Aaron McKie	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.40	25	4	21	13.7	15.6	-1.94	17.4	14.7	2.74
Tyrone Hill	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.27	19	10	9	15.7	13.5	2.20	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Theo Ratliff	62	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.32	20	9	11	15.0	14.3	0.68	16.4	14.7	1.73
Matt Geiger	26	27	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	24	-19	14.2	15.0	-0.76	17.8	15.1	2.70
Eric Snow	59	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	26	-23	15.8	13.0	2.79	14.2	18.8	-4.58
Toni Kukoc	44	46	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.18	11	18	-7	14.7	14.7	0.02	17.0	14.9	2.08
Todd MacCulloch	17	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	21	-13	12.0	15.4	-3.36	14.5	16.2	-1.66
Kevin Ollie	22	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	27	-25	14.2	14.9	-0.73	16.0	15.8	0.15
Nazr Mohammed	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	24	-19	12.6	14.9	-2.32	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Jumaine Jones	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	24	-19	12.6	14.9	-2.32	15.1	15.9	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, NOP 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
PHX 104, SAC 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
GSW 86, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%