NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	1.8 [1253]		MVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): +12.9%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	1.0 [979]		LVP	Shandon Anderson (HOU): -7.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.15	0.00	0.13	19	68%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Gray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	21%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.07	6	71%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	14	77%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	8	87%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	59%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	33%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	43%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	40%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	12	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	27%	-0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	27.0	16.4	25.6	2.4	27.2	123.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +34.1%

HOU -3.8%

ATL +12.2%

ATL +6.9%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.2	102.0	116.0	101.7
season	15.4	15.4		102.4	99.3
opponent	15.2	14.6		105.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.6	17.8	15.1	11.6	14.4
ATL	16.4	12.9	14.3	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	20	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-30	44	10.0	15.6	-5.55	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Devin Gray	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-26	36	12.4	15.4	-2.97	14.8	14.6	0.15
Kelvin Cato	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.19	-13	-3	-10	16.1	13.4	2.68	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Kenny Thomas	56	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-18	20	13.8	15.2	-1.35	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Bryce Drew	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-13	10	15.0	13.9	1.03	13.4	15.7	-2.31
Walt Williams	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-4	-8	16.1	13.0	3.12	15.0	14.4	0.69
Steve Francis	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.29	-20	4	-24	14.4	14.5	-0.13	15.3	14.0	1.29
Matt Bullard	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	2	-20	15.2	13.8	1.35	15.5	14.0	1.51
Hakeem Olajuwon	40	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.16	-16	0	-16	15.0	14.0	1.02	15.0	14.5	0.48
Cuttino Mobley	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-11	6	13.7	15.7	-1.93	14.0	15.9	-1.91
Shandon Anderson	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	3	-22	14.6	14.1	0.51	15.5	13.1	2.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	50	50	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.31	26	-10	36	15.0	14.3	0.66	15.8	13.0	2.78
Jim Jackson	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-11	38	15.4	13.3	2.13	15.2	12.8	2.46
Bimbo Coles	48	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.28	22	-6	28	14.9	14.5	0.43	15.4	13.5	1.87
Alan Henderson	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.31	22	-6	28	15.0	14.3	0.73	14.6	14.2	0.44
Isaiah Rider	62	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.32	22	-6	28	15.0	14.2	0.78	15.4	12.9	2.50
LaPhonso Ellis	41	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	11	-6	14.5	14.8	-0.23	15.7	13.5	2.25
Roshown McLeod	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	23	-30	13.9	15.2	-1.30	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Jason Terry	52	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	22	-28	14.5	14.9	-0.43	13.5	15.4	-1.87
Lorenzen Wright	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	19	-22	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.5	14.4	0.09
Chris Crawford	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	12.3	15.1	-2.83	10.0	15.2	-5.22
Cal Bowdler	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	12.2	15.0	-2.89	8.6	15.2	-6.65
Anthony Johnson	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	30	-44	14.1	14.8	-0.67	10.0	15.6	-5.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 75, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
SAC 81, LAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
BOS 89, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%