NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	86		Excitement	2.6 [1196]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +12.7%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	1.0 [921]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -9.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	13	39%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	54%	0.02	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	14	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	16	35%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	11	86%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	52%	0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	63%	0.04	3	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	5	50%	0.03	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	6	54%	0.01	6	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	83%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	51%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	30.4	15.3	28.1	1.6	29.4	130.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.3%

SEA -0.9%

BOS +12.1%

BOS +0.4%

BOS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	BOS	NBA	SEA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	13.5	15.2	81.9	106.7	101.7
season	14.9	14.7		103.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.6	14.0	14.3	14.2	14.0
BOS	13.1	15.4	12.8	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	39	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-25	25	13.9	14.1	-0.17	12.7	14.0	-1.26
Chuck Person	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-24	23	13.6	14.1	-0.47	12.6	13.6	-1.00
Rashard Lewis	44	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-26	27	13.3	14.6	-1.30	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Emanual Davis	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-21	17	13.9	14.1	-0.25	12.8	14.2	-1.40
Jelani McCoy	56	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-16	7	13.6	14.5	-0.94	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Ruben Patterson	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-11	-3	13.8	14.1	-0.29	14.2	13.1	1.12
Shammond Williams	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-20	15	14.2	13.9	0.22	13.9	13.2	0.70
Brent Barry	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.32	-21	-4	-17	14.3	13.7	0.56	13.6	13.5	0.13
Horace Grant	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-6	-13	14.5	13.6	0.89	14.4	12.6	1.81
Vin Baker	53	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	-4	-17	14.5	13.6	0.86	13.9	13.1	0.83
Gary Payton	73	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.44	-32	7	-39	14.2	13.6	0.63	13.6	13.5	0.09

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	54	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.26	28	-3	31	13.9	13.1	0.75	14.5	13.5	1.09
Walter McCarty	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.35	30	-5	35	13.0	15.4	-2.38	14.2	13.3	0.87
Antoine Walker	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.30	24	1	23	13.8	13.1	0.70	14.4	13.5	0.95
Tony Battie	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.18	16	9	7	14.0	13.0	0.98	13.4	14.7	-1.24
Dana Barros	57	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	18	-11	14.0	13.0	1.00	14.3	13.7	0.52
Vitaly Potapenko	35	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.20	14	11	3	12.9	13.9	-1.01	14.8	13.6	1.16
Paul Pierce	68	69	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.18	13	12	1	13.7	13.1	0.60	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Danny Fortson	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	25	-25	13.6	13.5	0.10	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Pervis Ellison	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	29	-33	12.6	13.8	-1.24	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Doug Overton	50	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	28	-31	13.1	13.9	-0.75	13.5	14.5	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 81, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NJN 91, TOR 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
UTA 83, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%