NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	104		Excitement	6.6 [488]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +41.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.1 [591]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -16.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.42	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.42	0.04	0.35	-0.03	21	50%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Ruben Patterson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jelani McCoy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	89%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	21	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chuck Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.03
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	76%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.06	-0.02	15	33%	0.04	2	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	22	46%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	27.7	15.0	23.2	2.5	37.7	130.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +36.1%

SEA +12.4%

MIL -3.0%

SEA +8.7%

MIL -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIL	NBA	SEA	MIL	NBA
this game	17.5	14.4	15.2	114.3	107.9	101.7
season	14.9	14.9		103.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		105.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.5	19.2	18.6	16.8	17.5
MIL	15.8	12.1	14.8	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	85	81	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-4	16	17.2	21.3	-4.09	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Vin Baker	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-3	14	17.9	15.1	2.85	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Brent Barry	76	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	17.5	17.7	-0.18	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Emanual Davis	26	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	6	-4	17.7	17.4	0.25	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Rashard Lewis	32	31	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	2	4	16.6	18.0	-1.38	16.2	13.5	2.63
Ruben Patterson	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	3	2	18.3	16.4	1.92	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Horace Grant	67	65	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	17.5	17.7	-0.20	14.0	15.6	-1.55
Jelani McCoy	32	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.22	-4	12	-16	16.7	17.9	-1.18	16.2	13.6	2.64
Shammond Williams	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	8	-8	0.0	17.5	-17.52	2.0	14.6	-12.59
Chuck Person	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	6	-4	18.2	17.5	0.72	10.2	14.7	-4.50

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	28	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-12	16	15.2	14.1	1.17	16.6	18.0	-1.42
Danny Manning	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-10	12	15.2	14.0	1.19	17.4	17.6	-0.22
Scott Williams	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	2	-12	14.7	14.2	0.44	17.4	17.6	-0.16
Tim Thomas	45	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-5	2	14.6	14.3	0.21	17.3	17.7	-0.36
Glenn Robinson	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	14.4	14.7	-0.32	17.9	16.5	1.40
Ervin Johnson	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	0	-8	13.5	15.8	-2.24	17.6	17.4	0.16
Sam Cassell	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.7	0.82	17.7	16.5	1.17
Ray Allen	73	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	5	-18	13.9	16.8	-2.88	17.4	18.1	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.24,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, IND 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%
HOU 97, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.4,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.02,0	92.7%
CHI 94, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.04,0.28,0	92.6%