NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	121		Excitement	5.4 [719]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +10.9%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.4 [374]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -13.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.01	10	81%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	16	66%	0.13	7	-0.11	15	93%	0.05
Anthony Miller	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Gray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Bryce Drew	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	59%	0.01	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	8	48%	0.00	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.07	0.05	22	69%	0.21	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.04	0.04	21	63%	0.02	1	-0.02	20	85%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	13	23%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	24.4	16.0	30.0	1.8	39.5	139.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.2%

HOU +0.7%

HOU +13.1%

DAL -13.9%

HOU +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	12.2	15.2	113.1	103.7	101.7
season	15.4	14.8		102.4	104.2
opponent	14.8	14.6		104.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	15.1	14.0	15.7	14.7
DAL	12.6	13.7	10.9	12.0	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-4	18	14.4	15.4	-1.05	12.1	12.5	-0.34
Steve Francis	93	92	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	0	10	14.6	15.3	-0.69	12.4	11.1	1.36
Matt Bullard	48	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-4	18	15.1	14.4	0.69	12.5	12.0	0.46
Shandon Anderson	79	81	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	2	6	13.7	17.3	-3.57	11.6	14.2	-2.64
Cuttino Mobley	67	68	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	11	-12	14.9	14.4	0.45	12.1	12.5	-0.40
Bryce Drew	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	11	-12	14.7	14.7	-0.02	12.0	12.5	-0.48
Hakeem Olajuwon	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	6	-2	16.2	14.1	2.04	14.7	11.3	3.42
Devin Gray	13	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.09	6	4	2	12.2	15.0	-2.79	10.8	12.4	-1.58
Walt Williams	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	10	-10	15.2	14.4	0.82	12.3	12.2	0.08
Anthony Miller	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	14	-18	16.1	14.1	1.99	12.1	12.3	-0.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	51	50	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.36	14	-24	38	10.6	13.7	-3.14	14.8	14.6	0.15
Shawn Bradley	52	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-14	18	12.5	12.0	0.44	15.3	14.1	1.27
Sean Rooks	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-10	10	13.2	12.1	1.06	16.4	14.5	1.87
Dirk Nowitzki	75	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-5	0	11.8	13.2	-1.45	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Erick Strickland	76	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	11.2	14.8	-3.58	14.6	14.8	-0.16
Greg Buckner	38	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	0	-10	14.3	11.1	3.15	15.1	14.5	0.69
Cedric Ceballos	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	0	-10	12.6	11.3	1.28	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Michael Finley	92	93	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	5	-20	12.7	9.5	3.14	15.2	11.0	4.24
Hubert Davis	64	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.04	-22	12	-34	12.7	11.6	1.05	13.4	16.7	-3.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.24,0.15,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.8%
IND 119, NJN 112	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0	94.0%
PHI 97, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0	93.8%